Showing posts with label Wigan. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Wigan. Show all posts

04 March 2013

Visualized: Liverpool 4-0 Wigan

Previous Match Infographics: Manchester City (h), Arsenal (h), Manchester United (h), Norwich (a), Stoke (h), Reading (h), Everton (a), Newcastle (h), Chelsea (a), Wigan (h), Swansea (a), Tottenham (a), Southampton (h), West Ham (a), Aston Villa (h), Fulham (h), Stoke (a), QPR (a), Sunderland (h), Manchester United (a), Norwich (h), Arsenal (a), Manchester City (a), West Brom (h), Swansea (h)

As always, match data from Stats Zone and Squawka.



Same old, same old.

More shots, more shots on-target, more passes, more possession, and more chances created, but a demoralizing loss with a handful of defensive errors. Time after time after time.

Oh, wait. This time it happened to Liverpool's opponent. Well then.

Granted, much of Wigan's advantage in passing and possession was down to Liverpool's three-goal halftime lead, adding the fourth soon after the interval. Liverpool had no need to stay on the front foot; they intermittently pressed to ensure Wigan never built up sustained, threatening attacks, but rarely strung passes together in attack, looking to quickly release Suarez on the counter when reclaiming possession and see out the victory with a minimum of fuss.

When the game was still in the balance, Liverpool had more of the ball than Wigan, controlling the tempo and tenor in the first half, with slightly more passes and possession than their opponents, especially in the attacking third. The discrepancy in the second half makes the game as a whole look more unbalanced, but it's worth noting that Wigan similarly out-passed and out-passed Liverpool in the reverse fixture, a match that Liverpool didn't seal until scoring three in the second half.

Nonetheless, Saturday saw Liverpool take its fewest shots of the season. The only other match where Liverpool had fewer than 13 was when the side attempted nine at Chelsea. The side had been averaging just under 20 per match prior to Saturday's game.

Liverpool needed just six shots to score four goals against Wigan, adding two more attempts in the final ten minutes, one by Gerrard volleyed well over, the other by Henderson blocked on the line. Compare that to the last league match. Sure, Liverpool scored five against a thoroughly beaten opponent and everyone went home happy, but Liverpool needed 33 to get those five, taking 16 before scoring the opening goal. Otherwise known as twice as many shots as Liverpool took in the entire match on Saturday.

The quality of the chances created admittedly has something to do with it. Three of the four goals came from clear-cut chances, set up by phenomenal play from the chance creator. Still, Liverpool have created three or more clear-cut chances in 11 previous matches this season (via @DanKennett), yet still found a way to lose three and draw two of those matches, held scoreless despite those clear-cut chances in both matches against West Brom as well as Swansea away.

Regardless of the quality of chances, it's safe to assume that matches where Liverpool score on 50% of its shots won't come around very often. Liverpool's previous best was five goals on 16 shots at Norwich; the average number of shots needed to score a goal through the first 27 league matches was 11 shots per goal. It's just as safe to assume that matches where all of Suarez's shots are on target will be almost as infrequent. The only other time it happened this season was in the match at Chelsea, scoring once and putting one other shot on target, and that was also the only match this season where he's taken just two shots.

Three of Liverpool's four goals started in their own defensive third, while the build-up leading to Suarez's direct free kick began with a Gerrard free kick just inside Liverpool's half. All three from open play featured mazy dribbles past Wigan defenders, the first two from Coutinho, the final from Johnson. Each of the three, from start to finish, took no more than 30 seconds.

Coutinho was a revelation, especially in the first 30 minutes. This post on RAWK excellently highlights how he has improved Liverpool's shape in attack. And his threat was also shown in where the majority of Wigan's tackles and interceptions took place. According to WhoScored, 38% of Liverpool's attacks came down the left flank, compared to 35% in the middle and 27% down the right. It's also evident in the goal events: the two that Coutinho assisted down Liverpool's left, one from a central free kick (which came from build-up down the left between Coutinho, Enrique, Lucas, and Gerrard prior to Suarez being fouled), and one from the right created by Johnson.

Meanwhile, Reina was just as crucial at the other end of the pitch with his six saves, which tied his previous high for the season. But that previous high was in the 3-0 win at QPR, with all six fairly routine saves on shots from outside the box. Just two, maybe three of his saves on Saturday were routine, while stops on Boyce and Di Santo were out-and-out remarkable. Not to mention his distribution – often one of his key attributes – leading to the "second assist" for Downing's opener, a perfectly placed long pass to Coutinho to catch Wigan completely off-guard after Liverpool seemingly passed back and forth harmlessly in its own half. That's the Pepe Reina we know and love.

Reina's heroics may have been the main reason Liverpool kept a clean sheet, but the Reds also did well to negate Wigan's most potent threats. Shaun Maloney, ostensibly a forward, attempted 50 passes, but only ten came in the attacking third. Beausejour is frequently key to the Latics' attacks, their top chance creator by some distance. He created three yesterday, but all were within an eight-minute span from the 28th to 36th, that crucial time where Reina kept it at 2-0 before Liverpool scored the game-killing third. Otherwise, Liverpool denied the Chilean time and space in open play, holding him well below his usual number of passes and seeing him withdrawn just after the hour. In fact, Wigan had such little joy down the left that both Di Santo and Beausejour were replaced by the 62nd minute, with Maloney shifting over to that flank (which is where both of his shots came from). In related news, Glen Johnson led Liverpool in interceptions with four, two more than the next closest Liverpool player.

02 March 2013

Liverpool 4-0 Wigan

Goals:
Downing 2'
Suarez 18' 34' 49'

Despite what you'd infer from the scoreline, Wigan actually out-shot Liverpool today. They out-passed and out-possessed Liverpool too, but more meaningful were the shots: the home side had 14 attempts to Liverpool's eight. Seven of Wigan's shots came in the penalty box; Reina saved five, two were blocked. Liverpool took six in the box, scoring with all three that were on target. That's it. That's the alpha and omega of this match. Recap over.

What? You want more? Fine.

Breaking news: when Suarez is good, Liverpool are good; when Suarez is ruthless, Liverpool score early and often. And Suarez was very good and very ruthless today, made even better because Liverpool had the second threatening attacker that Liverpool often need.

The addition of Sturridge and Coutinho has made more difference than we dared dream. The January window's been good to Liverpool over the last seven years: Agger, Mascherano, Skrtel, Suarez, and now those two. With Sturridge absent, there was a lot of pressure on Coutinho. And, as against Swansea, he didn't disappoint, creating the goals which killed the game before the 20th minute.

The first was remarkable control on a remarkably direct move: Reina's kick, Coutinho taking possession and dribbling around and past Boyce before chipping the perfect cross for a point-blank Downing header. 15 minutes later, it was his through-ball for Suarez after lovely work breaking out of Liverpool's half with Gerrard, followed by the Uruguayan feinting to force Al Habsi to the floor then slotting into the near corner.

From there, it was the Suarez show, adding yet another direct free kick in the 34th – his fifth of the season – then completing the hat-trick soon after the restart, toe-poking through Al Habsi's legs after a storming run from Johnson. It was the third hat-trick of his Liverpool career, all three away from Anfield. He's now top scorer in the league with 21 goals; Michael Owen never scored 20 in a league campaign, while Torres did it just once – his first season. I've long since run out of superlatives to describe just how special he is.

The last 40 minutes were a formality, with Liverpool content to soak up Wigan possession, with Reina twice there to prevent a consolation through Maloney. It was no surprise to see Liverpool strangle the life out of the match when so comfortable; the only surprise was that Rodgers made just one substitution – Henderson for Coutinho in the 71st – especially with both Allen and Lucas on a yellow. But it worked. I guess that's all that matters, although it also suggests that Rodgers' isn't especially happy with those currently on the bench.

Aside from Suarez and Coutinho, Reina was the other star of the show. He denied Kone in the first minute, not long before the long pass to Coutinho to set up Liverpool's first. He made a brilliant save to prevent Boyce from pulling one back at 2-0, as well as a slightly easier save on Caldwell, then made an even better stop on di Santo's header just after Liverpool scored its third. Again, Wigan had six shots on target, the same number as Liverpool, but Reina repulsed each and every one. We'd seen some flashes of brilliance, even in matches where he's been error-prone, but this was Reina's most complete match since 2008-09.

Gerrard and Lucas made more tackles than any other player, Allen was diligent and clever if subdued, Johnson and Enrique bombed up and down the flanks, and Carragher did well against the dangerous Kone. But the key to the game, the key to Liverpool's success, was converting its chances. With almost three quarters of the season gone, this should be news to no one.

With ten games left to play, Liverpool already have six more goals than they scored through the entire league campaign last season. As Opta's head of content pointed out, the last six league wins have been by a combined scoreline of 24-0: 4-0, 3-0, 3-0, 5-0, 5-0, and 4-0. Unfortunately, in between has been a 1-3 loss, a 1-2 loss, two 2-2 draws, and an 0-2 loss.

Progress continues, and continues to be evident. There was little fear of Wigan again proving to be a bogey side, with Liverpool winning at the DW Stadium for the first time since September 2007, and little fear of Liverpool going through the motions after its Europa League exit.

There's obviously still some distance to go, but that distance has been drastically shortened by the addition of Sturridge and Coutinho. And we – you, me, Rodgers – know where Liverpool's problems lie. When Liverpool score early, Liverpool usually score often. When Liverpool keep a clean sheet, Liverpool usually win; there have been just two 0-0 draws all season, the last in November. But when Liverpool concede…

01 March 2013

Liverpool at Wigan 03.02.13

12:30pm ET, live in the US on FSC

Last four head-to-head:
3-0 Liverpool (h) 11.17.12
1-2 Wigan (h) 03.24.12
0-0 (a) 12.21.11
1-1 (a) 02.12.11

Last three matches:
Liverpool: 3-1 Zenit (h); 5-0 Swansea (h); 0-2 Zenit (a)
Wigan: 3-0 Reading (a); 4-1 Huddersfield (a); 1-4 Chelsea (a)

Goalscorers (league):
Liverpool: Suarez 18; Gerrard 7; Sturridge 4; Agger, Enrique, Henderson, Skrtel, Sterling 2; Cole, Coutinho, Downing, Johnson, Şahin 1
Wigan: Kone 8; Di Santo 5; Maloney 4; Gomez 3; Boyce, McArthur, McCarthy, Ramis 2; Caldwell, Figueroa, Henriquez, Watson 1

Referee: Martin Atkinson

Guess at a line-up:
Reina
Johnson Carragher Agger Enrique
Gerrard Lucas
Downing Henderson Coutinho
Suarez

Have you had a pleasant week without Liverpool? A little nice to be spared the agitation, but kinda boring, right?

Not much has changed since we last spoke. Sturridge's fitness is again an issue, requiring a late check to see if he'll be available for tomorrow's match. I'm sure we remember what happened the last time Liverpool were without Sturridge in the league, the soul-killing 0-2 loss against West Brom.

The failings in that match mean it's unlikely that we'll see similar half measures used if Sturridge is unavailable. Henderson had been excellent on the left with Sturridge in the line-up, but suffered in against West Brom, with Shelvey unable to make any difference as the attacking midfielder. If Sturridge can't play, it seems almost certain that Coutinho will start on the left with Henderson as the most advanced midfielder. The Brazilian's ability to cause havoc in the attacking third will be crucial, hopefully adding the second goal threat that Liverpool often desperately needs.

However, if Sturridge is fit enough to start, I suspect we may see Henderson on left rather than Coutinho, unlike in the 5-0 win over Swansea. It's worth remembering that Henderson, coming on for Suso in the 36th minute, played a crucial role in the 3-0 win when these sides met in November. Wigan will aim to control possession – they actually out-passed and out-possessed Liverpool at Anfield – and Henderson's constant running, as well as his ability to track back and add a third body in midfield, could be important in breaking down Wigan's potential advantage in the middle of the park.

Otherwise, the starting XI still writes itself. Reina in goal; Carragher preferred to Skrtel, joining Johnson, Agger, and Enrique in defense; Lucas and Gerrard as the double pivot in midfield; and Downing on the right flank.

As usual, for all the praise Roberto Martinez receives, Wigan are clinging to Premiership status by its fingernails, only outside the relegation zone on goal difference. Again. They've won just one league match in 2013, last week's 3-0 victory at Reading, where they scored all three goals in the space of four minutes bracketing halftime, prior to Pogrebnyak receiving a straight red for a challenge which injured Figueroa.

This season, Martinez has almost always used the 3-4-3 formation he settled on during last season's run-in. The most likely line-up tomorrow is Al Habsi; Scharner, Caldwell, Figueroa; Boyce, McCarthy, McArthur, Beausejour; Maloney, Kone, Di Santo. Figueroa, however, is questionable with an ankle problem, while Ramis and Watson remain long-term casualties.

Roger Espinoza or Jordi Gomez could come in if Martinez wants to use a more defensive shape, closer to 3-5-2, replacing one of the three forwards. If Figueroa's unable to play, Alcaraz (finally recovering from a six-month groin injury), Ronnie Stam, or January signing Roman Golobart are likely to replace him, with Scharner switching to the left.

Wigan have won just twice at the DW Stadium this season: 2-1 over West Ham in October and 3-2 over Reading in November. All four of their clean sheets came away from home, including last week's 3-0 win.

Liverpool's last match against Wigan may have ended with a 3-0 win, but that scoreline certainly doesn't reflect how difficult the Latics made it for Liverpool, especially in the first half. Had Beausejour not made a mistake to allow Sterling and Suarez to counter for the first goal, it could have easily ended 0-0, as last season's away fixture did. And if Wigan to score first, it could easily be last season's home fixture all over again: an undeserved 1-2 loss which ended up being the final nail in the coffin for Liverpool's hopes of fourth.

November's 3-0 win over Wigan was Liverpool's first against this opponent in six matches, the last coming in Benitez's final season. And Liverpool's haven't won at the DW Stadium since September 2007. Wigan may be struggling in the league, but Wigan often struggles in league. And, somehow, Wigan stay up. And Wigan's struggles in the league often have no bearing on how they play against Liverpool.

Tomorrow will see the first match since Liverpool were knocked out of contention for its last possible trophy, leaving all hopes for the rest of the season concentrated on improvement in the league. The carrot's gone and all that's left is the stick, and Liverpool will be facing what's, by definition, a "bogey side."

Whether we see a determined Liverpool focused on finishing in the best possible manner or a dismal Liverpool simply going through the motions will tell us an awful lot about how the next 12 weeks will go.

19 November 2012

Visualized: Liverpool 3-0 Wigan

Previous Match Infographics: Manchester City (h), Arsenal (h), Manchester United (h), Norwich (a), Stoke (h), Reading (h), Everton (a), Newcastle (h), Chelsea

As always, match data from Stats Zone and Squawka.



Only the 2-2 draw at Everton saw fewer passes attempted and completed; Liverpool had less possession against just Everton and Manchester City, another 2-2 draw. City currently top the table, Everton are in fifth. Wigan are 16th.

And yet Liverpool won 3-0.

Liverpool won because a Wigan mistake, combined with Sterling's pace and intelligence, allowed them to take a much needed lead. Liverpool won because Suarez converted both of his shots of target. Liverpool won because another Liverpool player besides Suarez scored for the first time in nearly a month. Liverpool won because of a surprisingly strong left flank, using Enrique in an advanced position; despite having the second-lowest pass completion percentage of any outfield player, he also created the most chances – four; only Suarez, Gerrard, and Sterling have created more in a single match this season. Few players are capable of making that bull run then flawless throughball to set up Suarez's second. Liverpool won because of a determined defense, which allowed just two shots in the penalty box, neither closer than 12 yards out, neither on target.

And Liverpool won because of Brendan Rodgers' 36th minute tactical change, removing Suso for Henderson, shifting the shape of the Liverpool midfield.



Liverpool were better by almost every metric after the alteration.

Most importantly, the change allowed Liverpool to press higher up the pitch, unsettling Wigan before they had the chance to settle into controlled possession – something that multiple sides have done to Liverpool this season (most notably Everton). Just six of Liverpool's 19 tackles came when defending its final third, seven of the 17 interceptions. Comparatively, eight of Wigan's 16 tackles and 10 of its 22 interceptions were in their own final third. In addition, Henderson also gave much more help to Liverpool's other two midfielders, who had struggled to impose themselves to that point.

The passing chalkboards for Gerrard and Allen helps demonstrate how Henderson's presence freed both of them from shackles.




Gerrard had more license to roam, allowed to play closer to goal and take up wider positions without exposing Liverpool's tender underbelly – which has been exposed far too often this season. Allen could concentrate on starting Liverpool's attacks without being the sole focus of Wigan's own determined pressing from Maloney, DiSanto, and Kone.

This isn't to A) blame Suso or B) canonize Rodgers.

The former, despite being almost wholly uninvolved in the passing game, had been Liverpool's most threatening player to that point, with two excellent chances to score the opener. I do hope that Rodgers has a long conversation with Suso at some point this week, explaining the reasons for the change. Suso has never appeared to lack in confidence, but he is just 18 years old, and it can be mortifying to be hauled off so early without an injury.

The latter, until Saturday, has determinedly stuck with two holding midfielders no matter the opposition – to the detriment of Liverpool's attack – ever since Arsenal opened up Liverpool on multiple occasions more than two months ago. And has rarely given Henderson the chance to demonstrate what qualities he brings to the side so far this season.

Regardless, credit where due. Rodgers saw what was lacking and had the audacity to make the substitution so early in the game, not waiting until halftime to shuffle the pack, trusting the side would be smart enough to shift gears without needing the halftime team talk to explain the new system. I'm sure he also remembered the stomach punches that were Gera and Cabaye's goals right before the interval in earlier league matches, goals which knocked Liverpool off its stride and led to either a debilitating loss or regrettable draw.

We saw similarly strong in-game changes against both Everton and Chelsea, changes which helped Liverpool preserve and earn draws in matches they almost certainly would have lost last season. That, as much as a three-goal clean sheet at Anfield, a venue where Liverpool have desperately underwhelmed during this calendar year, is cause for optimism.

17 November 2012

Liverpool 3-0 Wigan

Goals:
Suarez 47' 58'
Enrique 66'

The death of the Wigan curse. It's been a long time coming. Five matches, in fact. A comprehensive victory, a clean sheet: the first three-goal clean sheet in the league at Anfield since beating Everton last March, only the third league clean sheet this season.

After that, there are two big talking points: Brendan Rodgers' early tactical substitution and Liverpool's left flank. Well, and the consummate genius of Luis Suarez, but that's almost always a talking point following a Liverpool victory.

The starting lineup was the same which finished the match against Chelsea aside from Skrtel recovering from last week's virus: Suso as an orthodox #10, Enrique as a left-sided midfielder, but otherwise the same personnel we've become accustomed to. And for 36 minutes, it was the same Liverpool we've become accustomed to. A decent amount of the ball, a couple of concrete chances, but more disappointment, not enough ruthless, and too much disconnect in attack.

Suarez's mazy runs nearly forced a couple of own goals, Suso had two excellent opportunities – a long range strike and mishit header – and Agger nearly scored from an early corner, but Liverpool weren't clicking on all cylinders, even to the level we saw in draws against, say, Sunderland and Stoke. Wigan were very Wigan, cohesive, intelligent, and canceling Liverpool out more often than not, bettering the home side in both possession and passes.

So, with 10 minutes left in the first half, Rodgers had seen enough. Even though Suso had two of Liverpool's best chances, he was the man to make way. It might have had something to do with the fact he had more shots than passes, but it's not as if he was playing poorly, and it was somewhat confusing to say the least.

I guess there's a reason Rodgers is a professional manager and we're sat at home or in the stands. Henderson, seemingly behind both Shelvey and Şahin in the midfield hierarchy, came on instead, with Liverpool shifting to a 4-3-3 which looked more like a 4-1-4-1 formation rather than the usual 4-2-3-1.

During the midweek internationals, I'd wondered why Henderson hadn't been able to replicate his England u21 performances for Liverpool, whether under Dalglish or Rodgers. So much for that question. Despite playing just 55 or so minutes, only Gerrard, Allen, and Johnson completed more passes than Henderson. He ran the length of the pitch, always available for a pass, and added two tackles and two interceptions, all in Wigan's half. Rodgers gambled that Henderson's pressing from the front and link play would contribute more to Liverpool's attack than Shelvey's dynamism or Şahin's calming influence, and the gamble was absolutely correct.

Liverpool made the breakthrough soon after the restart, a goal which propelled them to the much-needed win at a canter. And while a Wigan mistake had a lot to do with the opportunity, it stemmed from pressing the opposition in Wigan's half. Sterling hassled Beausejour into a soft back pass, latching onto the loose ball and driving at the defense, delivering a perfect cutback for Suarez in space, rammed into the roof of the net from ten yards out.

Wigan tried to respond with a couple of direct attacks, but Di Santo's shot from distance was comfortably deflected to Reina, then Johnson defended Maloney's early cross brilliantly, in the right place to head behind with Kone lurking dangerously at the back post. And 11 minutes after the opener, after defending well enough to not concede a cheap equalizer, Liverpool got the crucial second to kill the game.

That crucial second came from the aforementioned left flank, where Johnson and Enrique often linked to excellent effect. Enrique had seemingly ignored the fullback's foray forward into space, instead deciding to cut inside, a decision that had me screaming at the television. Ten seconds later, the ball was in the net after Enrique ran past two defenders before providing an immaculate throughball for Suarez, timed to the nanosecond and put on a plate with all the trimmings, the striker charging onto the pass before beating Al Habsi into the far corner.

From there, there was only going to be one winner. Suarez had two chances at a hat-trick, scuffing a shot wide then seeing a second well-blocked from close range. Unsurprisingly, he was central to Liverpool's third goal, in the middle of a delightful one-two with Sterling, which saw the 17-year-old's shot saved, spilling fortunately for the on-rushing Enrique to tap in. Not only providing the crucial assist, but scoring his first Liverpool goal. Hell has frozen over. Josemi Enrique is dead, long live Jose Bale, who nearly set up Liverpool's fourth just seconds later when Henderson ballooned a volley from Enrique's chipped cross.

Then, cruise control, the opportunity for Liverpool to settle into the calm possession Rodgers has drilled into his side, for the first time in the match. A period of the game which saw Liverpool's possession total go from 47.8% in the first half to 50.2% in the second. Wigan's attempts at a consolation were limited to a single set play, Reina punching clear a corner only for Wigan to lump the ball back in the danger area for Kone, who hit the post from point-blank range but was also offside due to Liverpool's well-marshaled defense. Patient control led to three chances for a fourth, but Johnson shot narrowly wide of the far post after more impressive combination play with Enrique, Suarez scuffed another attempt wide, and Shelvey – on as a substitute for the talismanic Uruguayan in the 84th – sent a tame shot directly at Al Habsi in the 90th.

Rarely has a Liverpool match been so satisfying after 90 minutes, especially this season and especially in the league. Beating a side that's caused convulsions for the last three seasons, scoring three, and comfortably keeping a clean sheet. Rodgers coming out of the match with full credit, making an (arguably overdue) early, intelligent tactical change in using Allen as a single holding player at Anfield rather than relying on two controlling midfielders, adding an extra body in attack and an extra body to press the opposition in their own half instead of settling for the sometimes listless possession dominance in non-threatening areas.

While it was disappointing to see Suso hauled off so soon, I can't help but be pleased for Henderson, whose work ethic gave Liverpool extra impetus in the middle. Even though the switch ostensibly made Allen the lone defensive midfielder, Henderson's running allowed the Welshman a calmer match, giving him more support rather than having to shoulder the load in starting Liverpool's attacks while stopping the opposition's. In addition, using Enrique as in midfield also worked a treat, an always-willing runner who'll get up and down the touchline and see a lot of the ball, combining well with Johnson as one player could cut inside while the other stays wide. Enrique remains a frustrating player at times, completing just 73% of his passes (only Suarez was less accurate), but he was also Liverpool's most creative – responsible for four chances, while Suarez, Sterling, and Gerrard each had three. Still, he was far less frustrating than some of the other options Liverpool's tried in that position (*waves at Stewart Downing and Joe Cole, then realizes the former isn't even in the squad*).

And, of course, no matter the impressive performances from Henderson and Enrique and others, the star man remains Luis Suarez, with 10 of Liverpool's 17 goals through 12 games, scoring in four consecutive matches, the hub of everything good in the opposition's half of the field. No controversy, no petulance, just permanent threat and goals goals goals. Exactly what we want to see.

More of that please. The players need to take confidence from the result, in both defense and attack, while the manager will hopefully remember how his clever adjustments helped Liverpool win today's match.

16 November 2012

Liverpool v Wigan 11.17.12

10am ET, not live in the US (unless you have the FoxSoccer2Go mobile app). Otherwise, delayed on FSC at 2:30pm ET.

Last four head-to-head:
1-2 Wigan (h) 03.24.12
0-0 (a) 12.21.11
1-1 (a) 02.12.11
1-1 (h) 11.10.10

Last three matches:
Liverpool: 1-1 Chelsea (a); 0-1 Anzhi (a); 1-1 Newcastle (h)
Wigan: 1-2 WBA (h); 1-0 Tottenham (a); 0-0 Bradford aet [2-4 pens] (h)

Goalscorers (league):
Liverpool: Suarez 8; Gerrard, Şahin, Skrtel, Sterling 1
Wigan: Kone 4; DiSanto 3; Boyce, Maloney, McArthur, Ramis, Watson 1

Referee: Kevin Friend

Guess at a line-up:
Reina
Johnson Skrtel Agger Enrique
Gerrard Allen
Şahin
Suso Suarez Sterling

Reina's fit and back in training after missing the last seven matches, Shelvey's fit and back in training after missing last Sunday's match with a thigh problem. We're also on Lucas watch: nowhere near fit enough to play tomorrow but back in training and close enough where I've started marking the calendar with red pen, like a small child counting the days until Christmas.

Does Rodgers continue tinkering with the starting XI, as we saw with three at the back against Anzhi and Chelsea, or return to his default 4-3-3/4-2-3-1, as in the last 30 minutes on Sunday?

Despite other issues (*cough defensive errors cough susceptible to counter attacks cough*), Liverpool's main concern remains finding some support for Luis Suarez, who's currently carrying the club on his back. After the match against Chelsea, Rodgers claimed that this was the goal of Sunday's formation. Which, obviously, did not work at planned, with Liverpool only looking remotely threatening once reverting to the default formation.

In theory, given Wigan's usual 3-4-3 formation, Liverpool's 3-5-2ish system would make some sense. Liverpool played 4-2-3-1 with Suarez as the lone striker in the dismal 1-2 Anfield loss against this side in March, only scoring an equalizer after a halftime change to 4-4-2 (before sloppily conceding a second time). Wigan were able to isolate Suarez in this fixture last season, nullifying any Liverpool threat with the spare defenders and midfield control.

Still, I'd be surprised if Rodgers deviated from his usual template. Which leads me to want to suggest a few tweaks: Suso as the attacking midfielder, Gerrard or Assaidi or Shelvey in the front three, or even the XI which finished the match against Chelsea with Enrique in attack – a move that, while often frustrating, did lead to two excellent chances to win late on.

But odds are that tomorrow's XI will look fairly familiar. The most hoped-for change is Suso as the attacking playmaker, but that would leave a hole in the front three. Despite any pronouncements to the media or on Being: Liverpool, we've seen no sign that Rodgers might use Gerrard in the front three. Assaidi? Has played in just two league matches, as a late sub against Stoke and Norwich, and hasn't started since the league cup loss to Swansea. Downing? Cole? Don't make me laugh. And the above line-up guess reflects that, with the usual Şahin or Shelvey dilemma the only foreseeable question mark.

The aforementioned 3-4-3 has become Martinez's preferred formation, used in every match so far this season, whether in the league or league cup. Midfielder James McArthur and on-loan winger Ryo Miyaichi are questionable, which means the most likely XI is the same that featured in the last two matches: Al Habsi; Ramis, Caldwell, Figueroa; Boyce, McCarthy, Watson, Beausejour; Di Santo, Kone, Maloney. Sometimes, it's worked like a charm, as in the 1-0 victory against Tottenham two weeks ago. More often than not, it's led to a loss, albeit a narrow loss. Only United and Chelsea have beaten the Latics by two goals or more. Wigan actually have one more win than Liverpool so far this season, but four fewer draws, holding both Stoke and Everton – two teams Liverpool also drew – at home.

Roberto Martinez and Brendan Rodgers work from similar playbooks. Rodgers built on what Martinez started at Swansea, Martinez was the other main candidate during Liverpool's summer managerial search. Three-man midfield, patient control, prioritizing possession. Top scorer Arouna Kone, formerly of PSV and Sevilla, has given them a direct option, and he and Maloney are responsible for seven of Wigan's 12 goals. Relatedly, Wigan also have the same problem as Liverpool: putting the damned ball in the damned net: averaging just over a goal per game, shut out in three matches, scoring twice in three matches, and failing scoring more than twice so far this season.

The sad fact is that Liverpool haven't been Wigan in nearly three years: a 2-1 win at Anfield in December 2009. When Rafael Benitez was the manager. Since then, three draws and two losses, against a side who finished 16th, 16th, and 15th in those three seasons. It's Liverpool's worst record against any club that's been in the league throughout that span.

While we're recounting soul-killing statistics, here's another. Liverpool have played Wigan 14 times since the Latics were promoted, with 11 players scoring 20 goals (and an own goal). Just one of those 11 players is still with the club: Luis Suarez, in March's 1-2 loss at Anfield.

We spent the run-up to last weekend's match against Chelsea talking about "bogey sides" thanks to Roberto DiMatteo. Wigan are a textbook bogey side for Liverpool, one of the worst offenders in a division filled with contenders.

And Liverpool desperately, desperately need to beat this bogey side tomorrow.

24 March 2012

Liverpool 1-2 Wigan

Goals:
Maloney 30' (pen)
Suarez 47'
Caldwell 63'

We should have learned by now. It can always get worse.

After this most recent atrocity, Liverpool have taken all of eight points in 2012: two wins, two draws, and seven losses. An average of 0.73 points per game. It's now five games without a win against Wigan, Liverpool's worst recent record against any club in the division. That's the same Wigan who had won four matches all season – profligate, awful Wigan scoring two goals with just two shots on target. Liverpool have now dropped 11 points against the bottom four sides; only Wolves were exempt from the alms Liverpool have repeatedly handed to the poor.

Rather than just the individual mistakes and confidence issues on full view in the final 13 minutes of Wednesday's match, Liverpool added questionable tactical/personnel decisions to complete the trilogy of error. Phenomenal. More fun for the whole family.

I still have no idea why Andy Carroll didn't start. Yes, he's struggled at times and yes, Liverpool had other problems, but that was the most baffling. Rather than returning to the 4-4-2 which worked well against Everton and Stoke in the FA Cup, Dalglish redeployed the 4-3-3 variant used in recent losses to Arsenal, Sunderland, and QPR. Once again, Carroll was left on the bench, with Liverpool still unbeaten when Carroll, Suarez, and Gerrard all start.

This time, Liverpool didn't even have early chances to repeatedly spurn. Wigan's 3-4-3 steadily soaked up any home side "pressure," with Suarez again almost always isolated as a lone striker, easily marked by three defenders. Suarez and Downing combined once, in the 25th, with the winger released by the Uruguayan's clever flick, but blasted narrowly wide of the far post.

And Wigan were ahead five minutes later. Henderson conceded a soft free kick on Liverpool's right, Carragher and Skrtel comprehensively failed to clear the set play, and Skrtel insanely booted Moses in the face when trying to "defend." Another mindless decision from Liverpool's strongest defender; it's almost as if he's more unsettled when partnered with Carragher. Who knew? After a three-minute delay, Maloney hammered the spot kick past Reina despite the keeper guessing correctly.

Liverpool had little response until the second half, when Carroll came on for the struggling Henderson, completely ineffective in an advanced free role. Two minutes later, Liverpool were level. Gerrard surged forward and centered for Suarez, freed from multiple markers because Carroll also demanded attention. Even if ostensibly uninvolved, Carroll's inclusion creates space for others, proven with five goals against Everton and Stoke. Six minutes after that, Liverpool apparently took the lead through Suarez's second, bundled over the line after Skrtel headed a free kick toward goal. But Mason, probably correctly, disallowed it, bundled over by Suarez's arm, accidentally or not.

Rather than continuing to push on, Liverpool's lack of confidence reappeared, as the disallowed strike took the steam out of the home side's attack. And then Wigan retook the lead: another free kick from the left channel, more hapless defending, and a surprisingly calm, collected finish by center-back Caldwell, in acres of space after the cleared free kick came back in, played onside when Carragher – the closest defender – stepped forward but Skrtel and Carroll didn't, fortunately receiving the ball from a fortuitous deflection off Liverpool's long-time stalwart. Bad luck and stupidity comprehensively punished. The story of Liverpool's season.

Another set-back, further back-sliding. Liverpool never looked like getting back into the game, and what else is new. That Shelvey and Sterling came on, for Downing and Kuyt in the 73rd and 84th respectively, is the only positive worth mentioning, the only players who looked "up for it," although to little effect. Otherwise, we were treated to more and more forced, improbable passes and heart-warming 'it's not MY fault!' arm-flailing. Wigan unsurprisingly, correctly shut up shop, and only Sterling's pace or a set play seemed to have any chance of unlocking it. Sterling and Shelvey's performances, combined with Coates' on Wednesday and Carragher's lack of today, makes what I wrote prior to Sunderland moot. Now it really is time to play the kids. It can't get any worse, can it?

The most frustrating thing – more than the lack of league progress (if not outright regression since the New Year) – is that Liverpool can look wholly competent (in the cups, against stronger opposition) and then completely dismal in the space of consecutive games, if not in the same game. Players impress and tactics work against the likes of Stoke and Everton – or Chelsea earlier in the season, among other examples – but then Liverpool somehow refuse to learn from those positives in subsequent matches. And then there's the repeated, constant confidence issues.

I will still maintain that this is a transitional season, and it's not wholly surprising to see the side struggle in the league with Champions League qualification out of reach. The same happened in the final two games last season after some thoroughly excellent performances against Birmingham, Fulham, and Newcastle. All the recent bad makes it hard to remember some of the good. Success is not immediate, Rome wasn't built in a day, etc. etc. But the inconsistency from everyone involved remains infuriating, disappointing, and costly; it's happened far too often to be coincidence. And this inconsistency can cost both players and manager their jobs.

23 March 2012

Liverpool v Wigan 03.24.12

11am ET, live in the US on Fox Soccer Plus

Last four head-to-head:
0-0 (a) 12.21.11
1-1 (h) 02.12.11
1-1 (a) 11.10.10
0-1 Wigan (a) 03.08.10

Last three matches:
Liverpool: 2-3 QPR (a); 2-1 Stoke (h); 3-0 Everton (h)
Wigan: 1-1 West Brom (h); 1-1 Norwich (a); 0-2 Swansea (h)

Goalscorers (league):
Liverpool: Bellamy, Suarez 6; Gerrard 5; Carroll 3; Adam, Kuyt, Maxi, Skrtel 2; Coates, Henderson, Johnson 1
Wigan: Di Santo, Gomez 4; McArthur, Moses, Watson 3; Caldwell, Diame, Rodallega 2; Crusat 1

Referee: Lee Mason

Liverpool's bad luck charm in past campaigns, Mason did an excellent job in the away leg of the Carling Cup semi-final and Liverpool have won the three matches when he's been in charge this season.

Guess at a line-up:
Reina
Kelly Skrtel Coates Enrique
Henderson Gerrard Spearing Downing
Suarez Carroll

While it hasn't been announced yet, rumor – an almost certainly accurate rumor from a typically correct source – is that Charlie Adam will miss the rest of the season after suffering what looked like a similar injury to the one which ruined Lucas' campaign. Bellamy, Agger, and Johnson are also all still out.

As for the other player who went off against QPR, Dalglish said that Kelly should be available, although target="blank">Steve Clarke hinted differently at the end of an interview primarily about Coates. Even if Kelly's fit, Coates should start, regardless of whether Carragher's available after starting the last three matches as well. And if Kelly's unavailable, Dalglish will have to choose between Flanagan and Carragher at right back. While Flanagan hasn't started since August, I truly hope Dalglish picks the former if it comes to that. Of course, the devil we know is frequently the "safer" option – safer obviously a relative term – especially since Liverpool had defended excellently in its last three matches until 13 minutes of utter madness on Wednesday.

Last time Liverpool faced Wigan – another frustrating, malignant draw – Suarez was the lone striker, with Maxi between the lines, Downing and Kuyt as inverted "wingers," and Adam and Henderson in midfield. Regardless of Adam's injury, I doubt we'll see similar tomorrow, and not just because that line-up led to zero goals. Primarily, Carroll should be restored to the line-up after being rested against QPR, hopefully returning Liverpool to the formation which led to wins over Stoke and Everton.

The two midfielders who missed the reverse fixture – Gerrard through injury, Spearing through suspension – look likely to start their fourth consecutive match, although there are obvious worries about Gerrard playing 90 minutes in four games over 11 days. Adam's injury should lead to more opportunities for Shelvey (I guess not loaning him out again was the right move), but not necessarily in a starting berth tomorrow. Henderson's still more likely to play on the right, and the flanks are still Liverpool's biggest question mark. Inverted wingers, with Kuyt or Maxi on the left and Downing on the right, as against Stoke and QPR? Or Downing wide on the left with Henderson tucked-in on the right, as against Everton? Your guess is as good as mine, and all this assumes Dalglish deploys a 4-4-2 rather than the 4-1-2-3/4-3-3 we saw in the first half against QPR.

Roberto Martinez has deployed five at the back on occasion this season, with Alcaraz, Caldwell, and Figeroua as a back-line and Boyce and Beausejour as wing-backs. That's a distinct possibility tomorrow, but the 4-4-1-1 used when these sides met in December seems more likely, the same formation used in Saturday's 1-1 draw with West Brom. That XI was Al Habsi; Boyce, Caldwell, Alcaraz, Figueroa; Moses, McCarthy, McArthur, Beausejour; Maloney; Di Santo. Wigan's injury woes are limited to doubts over Rodallega, midfielder Dave Jones, and back-up keeper Pollitt.

Wigan are one of the few teams more goal-shy than Liverpool, with just 15 goals this season and with a top-scorer who has just four in the league. Martinez's side dominated West Brom at home a week ago but scored just once despite multiple chances, and ended up drawing when Scharner equalized with West Brom's lone shot on target. This may sound vaguely familiar.

In 19th, only off the bottom only on goal difference (right where QPR were prior to Wednesday's match), Wigan have one just once in their last 15 matches: a 2-1 win at Bolton five weeks ago, drawing seven and losing seven. The Latics have won just four matches all season: that win at Bolton, plus QPR at home in August, at Sunderland in November, and at West Brom in December.

Of course, that three of those four wins came away, combined with Liverpool's utterly abominable record against lower-table sides, doesn't bode especially well. And Liverpool haven't beaten Wigan in the last four attempts: a tepid 0-0 draw this season, two 1-1 draws (after taking the lead in both) last season, and an 0-1 loss at the DW Stadium in March 2010 which helped seal Benitez's fate.

Not only have Wigan been Liverpool's bogey side recently, every relegation contender has seemingly been Liverpool's bogey side this season. Liverpool's failings have been laid bare, repeatedly. And as everyone's aware, there is little time left to remedy them.

21 December 2011

Liverpool 0-0 Wigan

Remember that perverse, pervasive sense of impending doom that followed the club around throughout 2009-10? Not the dreadful, soul-killing horribleness that was the Hodgson era, but the perpetual Sword of Damocles which hung over Benitez's final campaign, where we fearfully waited to see what could go wrong next. Yeah, this week has brought back that feeling. Even this trip to Wigan paralleled that season's, Benitez's nail in the coffin, in its overwhelming disappointment. At least Liverpool held on for the point here? Regardless, feeling that feeling probably isn't good.

Instead of this week's perceived injustices catalyzing the side, we saw the most-comprehensive team failure since the 0-4 thrashing at Spurs, a failure marginally more excusable because of Adam's early red card. It is no exaggeration to suggest that every player save Reina disappointed today. Another match where Liverpool started well, missed chances, and ended the worse side probably makes the Swansea contest the closest comparison, not to mention the equivalent results, but that didn't come with the same stomach punch. It's been that sort of week.

Yes, Liverpool would have won had they taken advantage of its excellent pressing start, with a handful of chances in the opening 25 minutes. Yes, Liverpool would have won had they converted a gifted penalty soon after the restart when Caldwell handballed Suarez's bicycle, only to miss the fourth spot kick in this season's five attempts. But Wigan were simply better – at least more threatening – for long stretches after that initial promise, with 19 shots to Liverpool's 21, 45% possession to Liverpool's 55% (after something in the region of 68-32% possession in the first half of the first half), and tested Reina from in and outside the box. The consistently steady back line became stretched with Liverpool haphazardly piling players forward, and both Skrtel and Johnson committed frightening errors reminiscent of bad memories from previous campaigns.

But with another clean sheet, the full scapegoat glare will fall on Liverpool's chronic inability to put the damned ball into the damned net, whether because of poor finishing, excellent keeping, or intangible luck. The woodwork wasn't involved this time. Al Habsi did well to stop Henderson, Kuyt, and Johnson's smart first half shots, and did even better to stop Adam's 51st-minute spot kick, a harder-hit copy of the one Carroll had saved in the league cup. Despite a couple of half-chances as the match went on, mostly through set plays, Liverpool got notably worse after the penalty miss, with the frustration evident from across the ocean. Meanwhile, Wigan continued to sporadically petrify when breaking out of its nine-at-the-back defense.

Tactically, full credit goes to Roberto Martinez. Wigan's five-man back line, a replica of the formation deployed against Chelsea, blanketed Liverpool's 4-2-3-1. No space plus mounting frustration is rarely a productive combination. The away side used the same XI as against QPR, with Maxi and Kuyt replacing Shelvey and Bellamy, but kept the same formation as at Villa Park on Sunday. Most likely rattled by events on and off the pitch, Liverpool pushed harder and harder but not smarter and smarter, which allowed Wigan to expose the defense on the counter. After two solid performances, the Henderson-Adam pairing simply did not work, and like Fulham, it's a result I'm tempted to credit most to Lucas' absence, no matter Liverpool's never-ending profligacy.

I probably can't get away without writing about Suarez, off-form and often isolated. Maxi dropped deeper than Shelvey on Sunday, and never looked the magic goal-scorer he's been from the flanks. Blaming Suarez's woes on yesterday's FA verdict and his subsequent ostracism by the great and good English media is simplistic but unavoidable, trudging off miserably when replaced by Carroll in the 87th. Not that he had much help. Sadly, off-field events do matter.

With Liverpool more open than a pervert's trench-coat when Wigan counter-attacked, it'll be interesting to see if Spearing comes straight back into the side with his suspension over. And then there's the small matter of Steven Gerrard imminent return.

Things do not look good at the moment. After 17 games, Liverpool have eight wins, six (!!!) draws, and three losses. Right now, Liverpool deserve to be in sixth, and Dalglish has multiple plates to spin and problems to solve. But the season isn't half over yet, and there are many more twists and turns to come despite current, obvious faults. We'll have more than enough time to wring hands and cry woe over falling skies if need be. Hope is dwindling, but hope isn't lost because of an away draw in a venue where Liverpool haven't won in five seasons.

Liverpool at Wigan 12.21.11

This preview was written yesterday, before the Suarez verdict. I thought about rewriting it. I still don't know what to say. Everyone's fumbling in the dark with just the FA's paltry statement to grasp onto, basing every opinion (and they are opinions) on their own biases (myself included). Until the FA releases its corresponding evidence, this ordeal seems more Franz Kafka's The Trial than "standard" football discipline. Two fingers, one in the eye of Liverpool, one in the eye of FIFA, in the hopes of political point scoring. I truly hope that isn't the case.

The only change I'd make to this preview is in regards to Suarez' starting. I honestly have no clue whether Dalglish will throw him into the fray. He's not suspended (yet), but only the manager knows if his mind's in the right place to play. Or whether Kuyt and/or Carroll will play because both will be needed if Suarez ends up missing eight games. But, again, no one but the club and the FA can answer these questions, and they've not been answered yet. Anyway...


3pm ET, live in the US on espn3. Or WatchESPN. Whatever it's called now. The online-only one, available only if your TV/internet providers aren't jerk-offs.

Incidentally, ESPN has the rights to three matches today: this, Villa v Arsenal, and Everton v Swansea. They are televising none, relegating all to the internet in favor of NFL Live, Dan LeBatard, and Jim Rome. Those lazy bums in Congress should pass a law preventing ESPN from bidding on "soccer" rights or something. I will not stop complaining about this and I apologize for nothing.

Last four head-to-head:
1-1 (h) 02.12.11
1-1 (a) 11.10.10
0-1 Wigan (a) 03.08.09
2-1 Liverpool (h) 08.24.09

Last three matches:
Liverpool: 2-0 Villa (a); 1-0 QPR (h); 0-1 Fulham (a)
Wigan: 1-1 Chelsea (h); 2-1 West Brom (a); 0-4 Arsenal (h)

Goalscorers (league):
Liverpool: Suarez 5; Own Goal 3; Adam, Bellamy, Carroll, Skrtel 2; Gerrard, Henderson, Johnson, Maxi 1
Wigan: Di Santo, Gomez 4; Diame, Watson 2; Caldwell, Crusat, Moses 1

Referee: Michael Oliver

The youngest PL referee, Oliver's been in charge of just two Liverpool games: a 2008 Carling Cup win against Crewe and Dalglish's first league game back last season, a loss at Blackpool. I remember absolutely nothing about his performance in either and hope that's a good sign.

Guess at a line-up:
Reina
Johnson Skrtel Agger Enrique
Henderson Adam
Downing Shelvey Maxi
Suarez

Once again, I doubt there'll be many changes despite another away match 78 hours after the previous.

One likely switch seems to be someone in place of Bellamy, who played 87 minutes against Villa and who rarely starts consecutive matches, especially two in the space of a few days. Maxi, in a straight swap, seems the most likely replacement, but Dalglish could also bring Downing back to the left flank with Kuyt coming in on the right.

Shelvey, a surprise starter on Sunday, also seems less guaranteed than most. I'd like to see him given a second opportunity, but either Kuyt or Carroll could come into the side if Liverpool revert to the standard 4-4-2/4-2-2-2 formation. Again away from Anfield, that formation seems more probable than against Villa, with Liverpool likely to dictate terms and tempo to the home side. Similar to how Liverpool lined up at West Brom earlier this season, but obviously (sigh) without Lucas.

If Carroll plays, I'm increasingly convinced he needs to start. He's had next to no impact when featuring as a substitute, almost always struggling to adapt to the rhythm. Off the bench against Bolton, Stoke, Norwich, Chelsea, City, and Villa, the only match where Carroll came close to making a difference was against City, forcing Hart into a heroic win-denying save, but that was with Liverpool pushing furiously thanks to the man advantage. Not that Carroll's often impressed from the start either (sigh), but they've been vastly different degrees of "struggling."

Currently 18th, Wigan are coming off an encouraging draw against Chelsea, definitely deserving of their point. Roberto Martinez's biggest problem has been his side's scoring inaptitude – 15 through 16 matches, joint-lowest in the league (yes, yes, only five fewer than Liverpool). Historically reliant on Rodallega over the last few campaigns, the Colombian's disappointed so far, still scoreless and now doubtful after picking up a knock against Chelsea. Either Sammon or Di Santo has usually started in his stead.

Wigan used five at the back on Saturday (which inevitably became nine at the back), attempting to soak up Chelsea pressure before bringing on both Rodallega and Di Santo, leading to Gomez's equalizer when Cech fumbled Rodallega's fairly-routine shot. Looking far more secure than in the previous home match, an 0-4 loss to a rampant Arsenal, Martinez could replicate those tactics against Liverpool, forcing the away side to patiently break them down, as many others have done to Dalglish's men this season.

With one win in the last five against Wigan and without a win at the DW Stadium since September 2007, the Latics have become something of a bogey side. Both of last season's draws – 1-1 in each, under both Hodgson and Dalglish – came when Liverpool conceded a second half goal after scoring in the first. With similar results "earned" against Sunderland, United, and Norwich earlier this season, that remains a frightening possibility if Liverpool remains unable to put chances created to full use.

12 February 2011

Liverpool 1-1 Wigan

Reina
Kelly Carragher Skrtel Johnson
Maxi Lucas Aurelio
Meireles
Kuyt Suarez

Goals:
Meireles 24'
Gohouri 65'

All good things must come to an end. Would you rather have taken a draw at Stamford Bridge and a win today?

This was one of those frustrating games we've seen all too often. For some reason, they keep occurring against Wigan, who Liverpool haven't beaten in the last three attempts. Liverpool never looked wholly comfortable and ended up paying for it. Pick your cliché about the fragility of a one-goal lead. With Gerrard and Agger missing, Dalglish reverted to four at the back, handing Suarez his first start. Meireles was the most attacking midfielder in a formation best-described as 4-3-1-2.

It took 15 minutes for the home side to gel, ignoring a fourth-minute penalty "shout" when Suarez went down in the box. The Uruguayan was at the center of Liverpool's attack, constantly looking to play clever one-twos, but couldn't quite make the breakthrough despite some very smart touches and an excellent work-rate.

Kuyt's bobbled effort from the top of the box in the 18th marked the turn in fortunes, with Liverpool starting to take control, and Meireles soon opened the scoring yet again with his fifth goal in six matches. Gohouri could only half-clear Aurelio's cross, setting up a crashing volley past Al-Habsi. Four of Meireles' five goals have been volleyed strikes if we count the bouncing bazooka which won last Sunday's match.

Three minutes later, the lively Suarez cannoned off the foot of the far post after dismembering a Wigan defender with a shoulder feint. But Liverpool couldn't get the always-needed second goal, and Wigan ended the half stronger after 20 or so minutes of Liverpool dominance.

Liverpool stayed slightly ahead on the balance of play after the interval, but were again punished against the run of play in the 65th after scrambling a free kick clear. N'Zogbia sent a cross back in, Alcaraz ever-so-slightly flicked on, and an offside Gohouri was on hand to tap in at the far post. After a few deep breaths, it's almost understandable that the linesman missed the touch which put Gohouri offside. Nonetheless, it's a harsh way to lose the lead.

Substitutions also hurt Liverpool today. Meireles had to come off in the 54th because of "sickness," but both his and Kuyt's exit could be blamed on midweek exertions and an eye on Thursday's Europa League match. Neither Ngog nor Jovanovic could make anywhere near the needed impact.

With 10 defenders permanent ensconced in Wigan's half, Liverpool's best chances following the equalizer came from free kicks. Aurelio and Maxi wasted theirs wildly over the bar, while Suarez hit the woodwork for the second time with 10 minutes remaining. Opportunities from open play were next to nonexistant; crosses and shots were quickly blocked by diving defenders. Wigan could have been down to 10 men prior to Suarez's free kick – Caldwell should have seen a second yellow for again fouling the new #7 – but Kevin Friend did Liverpool few favors today.

We saw the detriment of international friendlies today. The break halted the momentum built up over the last four games. Not only did Liverpool miss Agger – a surprise omission – but players were clearly tired, especially Kuyt and Lucas.

Suarez was lively, and he'll be scoring from the positions he got into today before we know it. The way he looked to link up with other attackers, playing those quick one-twos and bursting forward will align well with the talents of Gerrard, Meireles, and Carroll. Meireles continued his hot vein of form. Kelly again played beyond his tender age. But no matter the positives, today's result still feels like a loss. There are no easy matches in the Premier League, but two points dropped at home to Wigan is regrettable to say the very least.

It's still six games without a loss – only Arsenal can boast the same results over that period – but today was an expected victory after last week's triumph. Liverpool's now dropped seven points from winning positions in Dalglish's seven league games – against Blackpool, Everton, and now Wigan. Comparably, the side dropped nine during Hodgson's 20 games. At least Liverpool are getting into winning positions more often.

Liverpool now have two weeks before the next league match, a trip to West Ham against another a relegation candidate. Both legs of the Europa League knock-out round will be played prior. By then, everyone should be fit, hopefully including Liverpool's £35m signing. Let's hope momentum is as easily restarted as it was lost today.

11 February 2011

Liverpool v Wigan 02.12.11

10am ET, live in the US on FSC

Last four head-to-head:
1-1 (a) 11.10.10
0-1 Wigan (a) 03.08.10

2-1 Liverpool (h) 12.16.09
1-1 (a) 01.28.09

Last three matches:
Liverpool: 1-0 Chelsea (a); 2-0 Stoke (h); 1-0 Fulham (h)
Wigan: 4-3 Blackburn (h); 2-2 WBA (a); 0-0 Bolton (a)

Goalscorers (league):
Liverpool: Gerrard, Kuyt, Meireles 4; Maxi 3; Kyrgiakos, Ngog 2; Cole, Johnson, Skrtel, Suarez 1
Wigan: Rodallega 7; N'Zogbia 4; Cleverly, McCarthy, Watson 3; Alcaraz, Gomez, Moses, Stam 1

Referee: Kevin Friend

Guesses at a line-up:
if 3-5-2
Reina
Kelly Carragher Agger
Johnson Gerrard Lucas Meireles Aurelio
Suarez
Kuyt

if 4-3-3/4-2-3-1
Reina
Kelly Carragher Agger Johnson
Lucas Gerrard
Maxi Meireles Suarez
Kuyt

Will Liverpool stick with three at the back? That I'm listing two guesses for lineups should demonstrate my uncertainty. The match against Stoke proved three at the back can be attacking despite an excess of defenders, but Stoke presented far different challenges than Wigan will. Wigan often play 4-5-1, as the Potters did, but don't have the height or set play threat that Stoke provides. Rodallega is a completely different forward than Carew.

What seems certain is that we'll finally see Suarez unleashed. I can't help but wonder how he'd fit into the 3-4-2-1 or 3-5-1-1. He rarely, if ever, played as a lone striker for Ajax or Uruguay. Suarez's entrance against Stoke saw a shift to a more-orthodox 3-5-2, but the game was far more stretched as Liverpool had taken the lead.

Injury concerns have increased in the last week. Shelvey's definitely out. Skrtel, Gerrard, and Kelly are questionable after knocks against Chelsea; all three pulled out of mid-week internationals. The BBC seem to think that Kelly and Gerrard are likely to play, while Skrtel's the biggest concern. The former two will probably be late decisions taken tomorrow.

Depending on the formation, Gerrard would be replaced by Maxi or Aurelio (3-5-2) or Poulsen or Spearing (4-3-3/4-2-3-1). As usual, I find it hard to believe the captain will be absent. Skrtel could be replaced by Kyrgiakos or Kelly if Liverpool stick with three centerbacks; I wouldn't mind seeing Kelly as the right-sided CB, knowing he can get forward as Agger and Skrtel did against Stoke. If Liverpool go with four at the back – which I think is slightly more likely – he'd probably be dropped for a Carra/Agger pairing anyway.

With 12 games to play, Wigan find themselves in the relegation zone on goal difference. They've won on the road twice all season – the last on Boxing Day – but have as many draws as losses away from home. The Latics have the same number of total losses as Liverpool – 10 –  but like Birmingham, Wigan are near the bottom of the table because of too many draws both home and away.

Hugo Rodallega has been a constant thorn in Liverpool's side, while N'Zogbia's also capable of magic, although often over-elaborate. James McCarthy's return is a huge boon, with two goals in Wigan's last match – including an absolute beauty (starts at 00:17). Marking the attacking midfielder will fall under Lucas' brief. Defender Gary Caldwell has a fractured cheekbone, while last summer's supposed target Mayner Figueroa is carrying a hamstring problem.

Liverpool have struggled at the DW Stadium in recent years, drawing twice and losing once in the last three games, but have taken all three points at Anfield in four of the five meetings since Wigan's promotion in 2005.

Liverpool have an away match in Prague on Thursday, the start of the Europa League knock-out rounds, but I expect more "rotation" there than tomorrow. There are 15 days until Liverpool's next league match at West Ham. We've seen a marked improvement in form – four successive wins with four successive clean sheets – and Liverpool are finally playing the sort of football we know this squad is capable of. But resting on laurels after Sunday's accomplishment could see Wigan pull one over on the club yet again, no matter the manager or starting XI.

10 November 2010

Liverpool 1-1 Wigan

Reina
Kelly Carragher Skrtel Konchesky
Meireles Gerrard Lucas Maxi
Kuyt Torres

Goals:
Torres 7'
Rodallega 52'

Early ecstasy ends with familiar agony.

Torres' seventh-minute strike should have sent Liverpool on its way to a fourth-successive league win, building on what was accomplished on Sunday. It looked possible within 180 seconds, when Lucas' 20-yard blast was well saved, and Liverpool's resident genius opened the scoring soon after, released by Gerrard's wonderful through-ball, controlling marvelously and toe-poking past Al-Habsi from the top of the box. But Liverpool almost instantly regressed, on the back foot and penned in their own half by the 20th minute, spelled only by a lovely counter-attack between Gerrard, Torres, and Kuyt, with the captain awkwardly volleying Kuyt's flick over the crossbar in the 16th.

From there, Wigan constantly threatened with fast-paced possession and dangerous crosses, almost always from Liverpool's left, where N'Zogbia and Stam routinely embarrassed Konchesky as Maxi typically drifted inside. The home side had the ball in the net in the 32nd, rightfully ruled out as Carragher cleverly stepped forward to play Rodallega offside after Lucas' horrendous giveaway. So much for the young Brazilian building on Sunday's masterclass, but it's not as if he was the only player who disappointed today.

And it didn't take long for Wigan to grab the deserved equalizer after the interval as play continued in the same vein, despite the entrance of Shelvey for Meireles. Stam again crossed following sustained possession, and Reina palmed the ball straight to the dangerous Colombian with Gomez lurking in wait at the back post. As in this fixture last March, Rodallega made no mistake.

Unfortunately and unsurprisingly, Liverpool had little response. Both tactics and fitness are to blame, but seeing Poulsen brought on for Kuyt in the 73rd – after Kuyt had switched to the right in a 4-1-4-1 formation – raises the belief that the manager was satisfied with a draw; it reeked of protecting what little Liverpool had. As usual away from Anfield. It's this frustrating negativity against inferior opponents that overshadows what little progress actually has been made.

Despite the utter dross we were treated to for more than 70 minutes, Liverpool still could have taken all three points had Gerrard not cannoned off the crossbar on Liverpool's lone break, in the 79th. Eccleston replaced Maxi soon after – while Ngog (and Jovanovic) remained on the bench for the duration – but couldn't make the same impact as against Chelsea. On Sunday, his pace was an outlet to relieve pressure. Today, Liverpool needed substitutions that could create if they wanted to actually win. Which, again, begs the question as to whether that was the case.

Today was Exhibit A why teams rotate with three games in a week. It didn't demand a massive overhaul a la the Europa League, and the bench – Hansen, Shelvey, Spearing, Poulsen, Jovanovic, Eccleston, and Ngog – was admittedly thin. But the tank was clearly empty after Sunday's exertions, and Liverpool rarely looked like regaining a toe-hold or setting a positive tempo.

Make no mistake, fitness and depth partly led to Hodgson's tactics, but we've seen this no ambition nonsense time and time again in away matches. The contrast with Wigan's pressing and desire to run at defenders through N'Zogbia and Rodallega was painfully evident. Liverpool simply retreated once conceding possession, usually after hoofing out of defense in the general direction of an isolated Torres. If Gerrard and Torres – who have either scored or assisted each of Liverpool's league goals since the opening match at Arsenal – couldn't conjure something from nothing, it wasn't going to happen. And that's was the sole tactic in attack, which is hard to pull off when the other nine players are permanently ensconced in and around Liverpool's box.

I'd be remiss if I didn't mention that this dross was still better than last season's trip to Wigan. A draw's massively disappointing, but I still probably would have taken four points from the last two matches if asked prior to Sunday's win. However, after this weekend's good feelings, and the false belief that a corner had finally been turned (it's déjà vu all over again), we're basically back to square one. And I'm back to criticizing the manager's small-team, small-minded tactics. Liverpool could have laid down a marker and moved up to 5th, three points behind 4th. But they're seemingly content to stay static in 9th.

Once again, Liverpool is not Fulham. These tactics may have suited an underdog role against the league leaders, but not a match against 18th-placed Wigan, even if it's at Wigan. And now, with all 11 starters even more fatigued, Liverpool face a tough trip to Stoke in three days time, a venue where they haven't won since the Potters were promoted.

09 November 2010

Liverpool at Wigan 11.10.10

2:45pm ET, live in the US on Fox Soccer Plus



Last four head-to-head:

0-1 Wigan (a) 03.08.10

2-1 Liverpool (h) 12.16.09

1-1 (a) 01.28.09

3-2 Liverpool (h) 10.18.08



Last three matches:
Liverpool: 2-0 Chelsea (h); 3-1 Napoli (h); 1-0 Bolton (a)
Wigan: 1-2 Blackburn (a); 0-2 Fulham (a); 2-0 Swansea (h)



Goalscorers (league):
Liverpool: Torres 4; Gerrard 3; Kyrgiakos 2; Kuyt, Maxi, Ngog 1
Wigan: N'Zogbia, Rodallega 3; Alcaraz, Gomez 1



Referee: Peter Walton



Guess at a line-up:

Reina

Kelly Carragher Skrtel Konchesky

Johnson Meireles Lucas Maxi

Gerrard
Torres


As crazy as it sounds, this will be as much a sign of Liverpool's progress as Sunday was. Success in the Premier League is won on wet Wednesdays at Wigan, after all.

In theory, I'd love the same team as against Chelsea, continuing the high earned after that match. But there's a fear over the team's exertions – clearly exhausted by the 75th minute – and the short recovery time. That fear stands out for five players: Kuyt, Torres, Lucas, Meireles, and Maxi. Kuyt's only recently back from injury, Torres' struggles are well-documented, Lucas and Meireles put in miles of running on Sunday, and we haven't seen how Maxi copes with playing multiple games in the space of a few days since he's rarely had an extended run in the side. My guess is that Torres will be risked, Kuyt will be rested, and Maxi will continue on the left in Cole's absence. One of Meireles or Lucas will probably be on the bench – hopefully replaced by Spearing instead of Poulsen – although I can't bring myself to put that in the above guess. And the above is truly a guess; Hodgson gave us few clues in today's press conference.

He did say that Kyrgiakos and Cole are still out, but Johnson's most likely fit again, and should start unless there's a setback in training today. Whether that start will come in midfield – as was rumored against Chelsea before picking up a knock – or at fullback is the big question.

I'm not as intrigued by Johnson in midfield as many seem to be and I don't see the same parallel with Gareth Bale. Bale's pure speed and close control are his main weapons in attack, better suited further up the pitch. Johnson's at his best when he has room to gain a head of steam, allowing him to sprint past static defenders after already starting his mazy run. His control's not as good – as evidenced by the somewhat lucky penalty won against Napoli, among other moments – and I think he needs the space coming from fullback provides to be successful in the final third. Nonetheless, I imagine we'll get a chance to find out.

Wigan's amidst a poor spell – in the relegation zone having won once in the league since August and without their creative hub in James McCarthy – but this won't be easy by any stretch of the imagination. Wigan had specialized in draws before the two recent road losses, and Liverpool hasn't made any away matches easy for themselves this season. The Latics have only tallied eight goals this campaign, the fewest in the league, but have given Liverpool a tough game in each of the last six meetings – especially at the DW Stadium. The 0-1 loss in March 2010 was that campaign's final nail in the coffin, while the 1-1 in '08-09 was one of many regrettable draws which saw Liverpool narrowly miss out on the league title. The club's current joint top-scorers both struck in last season's meetings – Rodallega with the winner in March, N'Zogbia with a consolation in December.

Wigan will miss McCarthy, as well as the suspended Gohouri, but Roberto Martinez is no mug – a good manager and tactician – and will set out his side to spoil and counter, probably in a 4-5-1 as against Blackburn last Saturday. Wigan can play two up front, with former Chelsea striker Franco Di Santo partnering the Colombian, but rarely do against the top sides – and, yes, we're still including Liverpool in that classification despite all evidence to the contrary. Rodallega will be the main threat on the counter, having given Carragher headaches in the past, as will N'Zogbia, most likely down Liverpool's right (which could be another argument for doubling up Johnson and Kelly on that flank). Gomez will be the axis in midfield, while Diame and Thomas will looks to close down. Liverpool cannot sit back and hope to pick up a narrow away victory, as they did at Bolton, or we're in for a long, ugly night.

So let's see how much progress Liverpool's made.

08 March 2010

Liverpool 0-1 Wigan

Reina
Mascherano Carragher Kyrgiakos Insua
Gerrard Lucas
Maxi Kuyt Benayoun
Torres

Goals:
Rodallega 35’

D-O-N-E. That spells “Liverpool” for the rest of the season.

It’s the first time Wigan’s beaten Liverpool and only the second time Wigan’s beaten a “top-four” club (Chelsea earlier this season). Of course, the sad fact is that Liverpool’s rarely, if ever, looked like a top four club this season.

A few stats from my notes:

• Kirkland saves: 0
• Liverpool shots on target: 0
• Wigan shots on target: 3
• Liverpool shots in last 15min: 0
• Petulant Liverpool yellow cards: 5
• Chances I would have put money on Torres scoring: 3
• Liverpool giveaways: countless

This loss, Liverpool’s ninth of the campaign (and seventh away from Anfield), probably makes fourth place an unachievable pipe dream. We’ve seen some bad performances this season, but this one was the worst. The team was an utter mess today. I lost track of the number of unforced giveaways less than a quarter of the way through.

And it was yet another baffling mistake – Kuyt passing the ball to Diame as Liverpool struggled to clear – that led to Wigan’s winner. The midfielder’s toe-poked cross found Rodallega perfectly placed to scramble in at the back post.

Liverpool had a few half-chances in the first 10 minutes, most notably when Torres volleyed off the post after Maxi headed on Gerrard’s corner, but Wigan quickly grew into the game thanks to Liverpool errors and their clear lack of confidence. Insua, Lucas, and Kyrgiakos all picked up yellows as the home side got bodies forward (Insua had a particularly tough time against N’Zogbia), while the best reply from the visitors was Gerrard’s close range shot blocked and a tricky rebound wide after Yossi’s clever run into the box in the 27th.

Soon after, Liverpool were behind after Wigan camped in their half, and the only reply they could find was a Torres header over from Maxi’s cross a few minutes before the interval.

The second half remained Wigan’s thanks to Liverpool’s continuing poor play, even though Torres could have again tallied against the run of play, ballooning Maxi’s clever cutback in the 49th. As a sign of Liverpool’s desperation, Benitez actually made changes before the hour mark, Johnson for Lucas, moving Mascherano into midfield.

It almost looked like 4-4-2 at the beginning, but as Liverpool began to be pegged back, it reverted to the usual 4-2-3-1 with Kuyt dropping deep in the “Gerrard role” and both Gerrard and Lucas holding. When Johnson was brought on for Lucas, Aquilani for Benayoun (69’), and Babel for Kuyt (83’), Liverpool went even further back to basics.

It goes without saying that none of the formations worked. The lone chance in the last 40 minutes, despite a decent spell of pressure between the Johnson and Aquilani substitutions, again came through Torres, with the striker volleying wide after Kuyt headed Insua’s cross into the danger area in the 76th. But we saw absolutely none of last season’s heroics as a demoralized and beaten Liverpool didn’t threaten in the slightest after that opportunity.

This is one of those games that make me question what little I think I know about this sport. And I have no idea where Liverpool goes from here. It was the exact line-up I guessed in the preview and the team looked insipid from top to bottom. The players I most fervently defend – Kuyt, Lucas, Insua – were the most auspiciously awful. Just awful. And Benitez was outfoxed by his friend and first-year Premiership manager Roberto Martinez.

After six unconscionably long posts defending Benitez’s reign, I have no idea what to say. I’m embarrassed for his team’s performance today. Zero shots on target. Zero! With Gerrard and Torres in the line-up! Yes, there were a few chances to be had, and yes, I’ve defended Liverpool’s rough conservatism, but there is absolutely nothing to defend today. With the exception of Mascherano (who was still beaten to the ball by Rodallega for the goal) and Pepe (easily the player of the season), every single Liverpool player was inferior to his Wigan counterpart.

Like the dreadful loss at Portsmouth, I fear that the team strolled in expecting a win against a “sub-standard” relegation candidate and were sent home with tails between legs. The outcry against Benitez is going to hit a fever pitch, and I have no defense today. It'll fall on deaf ears coming from me, but I blame the players far more – no one could pass the ball at all today – but I completely understand any outcry. Either the tactics, if they were any, were completely wrong, or the players aren’t listening anymore. And either answer’s a death sentence.

All of the other contenders for fourth have games in hand. Spurs and City, a point ahead of Liverpool, have one and two respectively. Villa, in 7th by three points, has three. Not to mention that all three are in much better form. This abysmal performance, yet another abysmal performance after it looked like Liverpool had gritted their way through that awful phase, means Liverpool’s most likely fighting to spend a second year in a European competition they don’t want to be in to begin with.

The sky is falling. The sky is falling. The sky is falling.

06 March 2010

Liverpool at Wigan 03.08.10

3pm, live in the US on espn2

Last 4 head-to-head:
2-1 Liverpool (h) 12.16.09
1-1 (a) 01.28.09
3-2 Liverpool (h) 10.18.08
1-1 (h) 01.02.09

Last three matches:
Liverpool: 2-1 Blackburn (h); 3-1 Unirea (a); 0-0 City (a)
Wigan: 0-1 Brum (a); 0-3 Spurs (h); 0-0 Bolton (h)

Goalscorers (league):
Liverpool: Torres 13; Kuyt 9; Gerrard 6; Benayoun 5; Ngog 4; Babel, Johnson 2; Kyrgiakos, Skrtel 1
Wigan: Rodallega 7; N’Zogbia, Scharner 4; Boyce 3; Bramble, Caldwell, Diame, Figueroa, Gomez, Koumas, McCarthy, Sinclair 1

Referee: Andre Marriner

Guess at a squad:
Reina
Mascherano Carragher Kyrgiakos Insua
Lucas Gerrard
Maxi Kuyt Benayoun
Torres

I’m tempted to guess 4-4-2, as Liverpool lined up against Blackburn. I really am. Liverpool were a bit better in attack last weekend and Benitez used the formation in the reverse fixture when the Latics came to Anfield in December.

But it’s an away match after an international break. Wigan may be in 16th, a point above the relegation zone, but it’ll still be a combative, physical match where Liverpool will be made to work.

Glen Johnson’s finally back in contention, recovering from the knee injury suffered at Villa. But Mascherano did excellently at right back last weekend and Johnson hasn’t played in almost 10 weeks. Injuries to Skrtel and Agger may force Rafa’s hand, which is why I’ve guessed Carragher and Kyrgiakos in the middle despite Rodallega’s speed. Agger may be a big miss on Monday, but if he’s injured, he’s injured.

If Masch plays at right back, Gerrard, Lucas, and Aquilani are the options in midfield. And I still think Benitez will hesitate to use Aquilani away from Anfield. Given how this season’s gone, anything Aquilani does is a bonus. It’s unfortunate and regrettable, but that’s where we are. Lucas and Gerrard in midfield, with Kuyt, Benayoun, and Maxi ahead and Torres leading the line, should be enough to break down Wigan. Benayoun’s consistently played well against Wigan, scoring on his last three visits to the DW Stadium, so his should be one of the first names on the teamsheet.

N’Zogbia and Scharner, Wigan’s 2nd and 3rd leading scorers, are questionable with knee and groin problems respectively. As is former Liverpool target James McCarthy. Gomez and Koumas will probably play if N’Zogbia and Scharner truly are unavailable. Otherwise, Wigan look likely to line up in a more orthodox 4-5-1, with Rodallega (who’s caused Liverpool problems in the past) leading the line.

City, Spurs, and Villa all play in the FA Cup this weekend. Liverpool need to put points on the board and keep pace with competition for fourth. Wigan have been in freefall since the last meeting, winning one in the last 13 league contests, while Liverpool have slowly but surely battled their way up the table. Let’s hope that precedent continues.

16 December 2009

Liverpool 2-1 Wigan

Reina
Carragher Skrtel Agger Insua
Benayoun Gerrard Mascherano Aurelio
Ngog Kuyt

Goals:
Ngog 10’
Torres 79’
N’Zogbia 90+2’

An egregiously stupid goal given up in the second minute of second half injury time takes some gloss off a workman-like performance, one which saw a bit of normalcy resuming with a deserved win.

Yes, Liverpool were sloppy at times, and should have pushed on from a well-taken 10th-minute Ngog goal. Kirkland made some two very smart saves to keep the margin at one, and a ten-minute lull after the hour mark almost saw Liverpool concede yet another unfortunate equalizer. But this time, Scotland’s shot caromed off the crossbar. Inches make differences.

Torres’ goal four minutes later looked to seal the victory, but N’Zogbia’s late show made the last two minutes much more nerve-wracking than they should have been. Liverpool certainly could have done with a clean sheet, but you can’t complain about three points. I’m almost happier that Liverpool had to hold on and work for those three points than if Wigan had rolled over after the early strike. The team had to show some character, and that’ll go some way toward raising confidence.

It certainly wasn’t the expected line-up or formation, though. Whether for precaution or rest with three games in six days, Torres, Aquilani, and Lucas all began on the bench, with Johnson not even in the squad. And I don’t think we’ve seen the 4-4-2 since the 4-4 against Arsenal last season.

Gerrard sat far deeper with both Ngog and Kuyt operating as strikers, and it was the young Frenchman who struck first, glancing Aurelio’s deep cross past Kirkland with the keeper foolishly rushing off his line. At times, it was not entirely unlike a coherent attack. At others, we saw a sloppy side prone to giveaways, leading to some end-to-end action, with Wigan unable to profit mainly thanks to Mascherano’s constant presence.

The 4-4-2 formation led to a more open game than we’re used to, with Liverpool giveaways contributing to said openness, but the home side always looked more likely. Both sides were happier on the break, and Liverpool deserved their 1-0 lead at halftime. They probably should have been further ahead. Wigan demonstrated their intent, and Liverpool’s potential problems, when the defense was caught sleeping on Rodallega’s deep cross less than a minute after the opener, but Scharner couldn’t get power on his header, making it easy for Reina. Five minutes later, Kirkland did well to parry Kuyt’s near post shot from Ngog’s clever pullback.

Benayoun was a constant threat down the right, Ngog was clearly emboldened by his goal, and Mascherano was an absolute terror in midfield. But chances should have been easier to come by; Liverpool probed well down the flanks, but most crosses or centers failed to find the target. The best came right before halftime: another tempting Aurelio cross narrowly missed by Benayoun and a ball breaking to Ngog in space hit just wide of the far post after terrific pace from the striker.

The second half started with more of the same, only Kirkland provided an even better save six minutes in. Kuyt started the move with a lovely pass to Ngog down the right and got into space for the striker’s cutback, only with the keeper able to keep out the well-hit shot.

Wigan sent on a second striker, Scotland for Diame, in the 58th, before Lucas replaced Aurelio, with Liverpool reverting to the usual 4-2-3-1. Torres soon followed for Ngog, and Liverpool should have gone two up when Agger mishit an absolute free header in the 65th, before Wigan began to reply. Two out-and-out holding midfielders seemed to invite Wigan into Liverpool’s half, and they turned increasing possession into a clear-cut chance in the 74th. When Reina flapped at a free kick in, Scotland found the ball at his feet, but thankfully his rising shot hit the bar. Every other time Liverpool’s been in a similar circumstance, it’s ended with a goal. Maybe this actually is a turning point.

Five minutes later, Torres made it certain, his 11th goal in 12 league games. The ball broke to the striker in space after Gerrard challenged Boyce on a long ball, and Torres rounded Kirkland only to see his stabbed effort blocked by Bramble. But he collected himself to round the defender and backheel into the net. You just can’t exaggerate Torres’ importance. It’s not possible.

Aquilani replaced Benayoun soon after, moving Gerrard out to the left, and Liverpool looked marginally more inventive. Aquilani even had a chance for his first goal, collecting smartly and insolently attempting an overhead kick in the area, only to see Kirkland claim the effort. But Liverpool were caught out in the 92nd when lazy defending saw N’Zogbia cut in from the right past four half-tackles (Insua, Agger, Carragher, and Lucas) before slotting under Reina. Just despicable. Thankfully, it was too late to do real damage to the result or morale.

The 4-4-2 was either forced because of the spate of games this week or an audacious attempt by Benitez to shake up the team. Either way, it worked. As said above, Mascherano was a monster, much needed in this formation, while Benayoun was impressive and Ngog looked better having a second striker in support. Saturday’s game will give us more insight as to whether this will be a real change in tactics, but I’m betting we’re back to 4-2-3-1, and I’d even bet Aquilani starts (along with Torres).

Either way, it’s the result Liverpool needed. And I’m glad they had to work for it. Keep working for it. Pompey on Saturday.

15 December 2009

Liverpool v Wigan 12.16.09

3pm, live in the US on Setanta

Last 4 head-to-head:
1-1 (a) 01.28.09
3-2 Liverpool (h) 10.18.08
1-1 (h) 01.02.09
1-0 Liverpool (a) 09.29.07

Last three matches:
Liverpool: 1-2 Arsenal (h); 1-2 Fiorentina (h); 0-0 Blackburn (a)
Wigan: 2-2 Stoke (a); 2-3 Brum (h); 1-0 Sunderland (h)

Goalscorers (league):
Liverpool: Torres 10; Kuyt 5; Benayoun, Gerrard 4; Ngog 3; Babel, Johnson 2; Skrtel 1
Wigan: Rodallega 6; Boyce, Scharner 3; N’Zogbia 2; Bramble, Figueroa, Gomez, Koumas, Sinclair 1

Referee: Phil Dowd

Guess at a squad:
Reina
Johnson Carragher Agger Aurelio
Lucas Aquilani
Kuyt Gerrard Benayoun
Torres

Once more into the breach, dear friends. Let’s hope the team’s up for it. You know, for a change.

I’m tempted to suggest the same line-up as Sunday. Despite the result, it was a good first half, and nearly Liverpool’s strongest XI. The second half abomination was down to a lack of confidence, evident after the soft equalizer, and this team desperately needs to build self-belief. Of course, I’m also tempted to suggest a radical overhaul given that damn little has gone right over the last ten weeks, but that’s not Benitez’s – or Liverpool’s – style.

Both Mascherano and Johnson picked up knocks on Sunday, but that’s not entirely why I’ve ‘left out’ Masch. I’ve left out Masch for the same reason that Liverpool started both Gerrard and Lucas in midfield against Stoke, Burnley, and Hull – to try and create some semblance of a coherent attack, and to get as many players involved in the attack as possible.

Admittedly, Wigan is a better team than Stoke, Burnley, and Hull, and those Liverpool wins came more than three months ago. And maybe it should be Masch instead of Lucas for protection in front of the back four, although I think Lucas’s ability to knit play in attack will probably be more useful tomorrow.

But with Gerrard and Aquilani on from the start, hopefully we’ll get the attacking impetus we’ve been missing. If this were the team, it’d probably end up more a 4-1-4-1 – Gerrard may even drop deeper than Aquilani more often than not – but that’s not necessarily a bad thing. As written in the Arsenal preview, I’m not necessarily opposed to seeing Gerrard replace Kuyt on the right with Aquilani ostensibly in Gerrard's usual role, but I don’t think it’s likely.

Even with Liverpool’s problems – especially susceptibility on the break – I wouldn't be surprised if Wigan will look to congest and stifle at Anfield with only Rodallega up top. But of course, Wigan’s top scorer, who almost won the last meeting between the clubs with an injury-time thumper off the crossbar, will provide a real threat.

Insua could come back in for Aurelio – who didn’t stand out against Arsenal – while if Johnson’s truly struggling with injury, Degen’s back in the squad (I don’t think Kelly’s available yet). But, regardless of the fullbacks, I hope to see the same Carragher-Agger central pairing. It’s clearly the first choice unit, and the first choice unit needs to keep playing together in the hopes the ship will finally right.

Wigan hasn’t been on the best of runs of late; the three results after the 9-1 mauling by Spurs were a narrow win over Sunderland, a loss at home against Brum, and a draw with Stoke when Rodallega's 90th minute penalty was saved. Of course, those in glass houses shouldn’t throw stones. But that Wigan’s been letting in goals – one clean sheet in the last 11 games – is welcome news.

Then again, Liverpool hasn’t had the best of luck against the Latics in recent seasons, with or without Steve Bruce. A 1-1 draw last January was culmination of an infuriating winter, and Wigan got the same result at Anfield the year before. Both draws were down to individual mistakes and late goals after Liverpool had taken a 1-0 lead. Sound familiar?

Tomorrow will be “Shankly Day” at Anfield, celebrating the 50th anniversary of his arrival. Were Liverpool to yet again find a way to underwhelm, the great man himself will probably come down from heaven to beat some sense into the team.

Don’t embarrass the club in front of Shankly.