Showing posts with label Middlesbrough. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Middlesbrough. Show all posts

22 May 2017

Visualized: Liverpool 3-0 Middlesbrough

Previous Match Infographics: West Ham (a), Southampton (h), Watford (a), Crystal Palace (h), West Brom (a), Stoke (a), Bournemouth (h), Everton (h), Manchester City (h), Burnley (a), Arsenal (h), Leicester (a), Tottenham (h), Hull (a), Chelsea (h), Swansea (h), Manchester United (a), Sunderland (a), Manchester City (a), Stoke (h), Everton (a), Middlesbrough (a), West Ham (h), Bournemouth (a), Sunderland (h), Southampton (a), Watford (h), Crystal Palace (a), West Brom (h), United (h), Swansea (a), Hull (h), Chelsea (a), Leicester (h), Tottenham (a), Burnley (a), Arsenal (a)

All match data from Stats Zone and Who Scored.



When Liverpool were backs against the wall, needing to win its last two games, Liverpool won. Convincingly, at least after 90 minutes were up. When Liverpool clearly needed to make changes – both because of injuries and because what had worked wasn't working – Liverpool made changes which clearly improved the side, clearly improved the attack, and led to Liverpool winning those games.

The incredibly short version is that the diamond midfield has made Liverpool vastly more creative in the middle of the pitch. And that's where Liverpool's goal-scorers played and that's where Liverpool's goals came from and that's why Liverpool won.

Compare the chances created in yesterday's match to Liverpool's last loss against Crystal Palace.



Sure, it'd be even more reassuring to see multiple passes in and into the box, but still. It is not easy to break through a deep, deep, deep defense. And passes into the zone just outside the box, a handful of passes into the box, and maybe a throughball or two is a hell of a lot better than crosses, chips, and long balls. Finding space through movement and quick passes versus hoping to find space with hoofs and crosses and fortune.

Even before Wijnaldum's opener, Liverpool had created some decent chances, even if resulting in far too many shots from outside the box. Firmino in the first minute, Can narrowly missing the top corner in the 21st, a couple of efforts from Sturridge pushed not far wide of the post.

Then, Wijnaldum's timely goal. First, the goalscorer finding space in that important zone, receiving the out-ball from Lovren. Clyne to Firmino just outside the box, a deft layoff, and Wijnaldum continuing to move, those necessary runs into the box from deep, finished off with aplomb.

A quick aside for Gini Wijnaldum. Six goals and 11 assists in his first season; all six goals in the league, as well as nine of 11 assists. Goals against City, Chelsea, and Arsenal, assists against Arsenal and Tottenham. The crucial equalizer in first-half stoppage time against Burnley, the crucial opener in first-half stoppage time against Boro. Three assists in these final two matches, when Liverpool needed goals because Liverpool needed to win. We'll continue to complain about going missing in games, about struggles away from home and against parked buses and when there's no space in the opposition half, but good lord he's shown up when most necessary, in the biggest of games.

And after that opener, and as against West Ham, the opening goal created the space for more soon after the restart, both with sustained build-up and on the counter-attack. Coutinho's two goals and Origi's scrambled fourth at West Ham, Lallana's game-sealing third after Boro's corner, just like Liverpool's third at West Ham. And more goals is something which did not happen against either West Brom, Watford, or Crystal Palace despite scoring the first goal around the same time.

Liverpool have taken 25 or more shots just six times this season. Four matches in the first third of the season – all prior to Coutinho's injury – and these last two matches.

More shots, but also better shots, especially after getting the first goal. Better locations, higher percentages. And goals. Goals win games, now and forever. But not conceding goals certainly helps.

The last time Liverpool went four consecutive games without conceding was January-February 2011: 3-0 Wolves, 1-0 Fulham, 2-0 Stoke, 1-0 Chelsea. They were Dalglish's 4th, 5th, 6th, and 7th games as Liverpool's caretaker manager after Roy Hodgson was fired. The last two were Luis Suarez's first two games for Liverpool. That's how long it's been. 2014-15 saw a four-match league run without conceding – 1-0 Sunderland, 2-0 Villa, 2-0 West Ham, 0-0 Everton – but with goals allowed in cup ties against Chelsea (twice) and Bolton in between.

Liverpool's big wins in these necessary final two games hasn't just been improvement in attack or just improvement in defense.



There has finally been a bit of balance. Liverpool aren't scoring at the same rate as the first half of the season – at least, not until these last two games – but Liverpool are conceding fewer. And that's despite allowing slightly more shots than earlier in the season.

Liverpool have been good at shot prevention all season long; only Manchester City have allowed fewer. As we're all aware, too many of those shots have been good shots, and too many have resulted in goals. Because of set plays, because of defensive lapses. And it was still somewhat of an issue yesterday: Bamford nearly winning a penalty, Adam Forshaw's two second-half clear-cut chances (albeit both after Liverpool had taken a 3-0 lead). Progression to the mean. Everything evens out over the course of the season, even if it takes until the final few games to do so.

A fair bit of credit goes to Simon Mignolet, who has saved six clear-cut chances in the final 10 matches of the season: one at City in a 1-1 draw, one against Everton in that 3-1 win, two at Stoke, one at West Brom, and one against Boro, denying Forshaw's first good chance just after Liverpool scored its third. Mignolet saved five clear-cut chances in his previous 18 league matches. City, Stoke, and West Brom were especially important, saves which made sure Liverpool left with one, three, and three points respectively. Had Liverpool dropped points there, Liverpool could be looking up at four rather than three teams.

So, for the first time in too long, we're ending the season on a high note. Not only winning the final match – something which hasn't happened since 2013-14, after Liverpool had already thrown away its chance at the title in the two previous games – but winning a final meaningful match. Winning to cement a chance to play in next season's Champions League proper. Winning while playing well at both ends of the pitch.

Winning to make this a successful campaign, Liverpool reaching its goal of finishing in the top four for only the second time the last eight seasons. And winning to give us more than enough optimism to sustain the next three months without football.

21 May 2017

Liverpool 3-0 Middlesbrough

Goals:
Wijnaldum 45+1'
Coutinho 51'
Lallana 56'

Liverpool did it.

When Liverpool needed to win two games to seal fourth place, Liverpool won 4-0 and 3-0, scoring as many goals in those two as they had in the previous six. Liverpool finished the season with four consecutive clean sheets. Liverpool finished the season with 76 points, Liverpool finished in fourth.

Liverpool didn't make it easy. Because Liverpool.

For 45 minutes, we were at wit's end. Manchester City were two goals up. Arsenal were two goals up. Liverpool were running into a brick wall, as it's felt we've seen again and again and again. Liverpool had 74% possession. Liverpool had taken 13 shots, but eight from outside the area, and none truly threatening. And Liverpool were lucky not to be behind after one of those all-too-frequent defensive breakdowns (*waves at Dejan Lovren*) with Bamford played in behind and Bamford tumbling in the penalty box but Martin Atkinson waving away appeals.

But then, as at West Ham, a moment of magic, a wondrous blitz, almost incongruous with what we'd seen previously. Matip out-muscles Gestede, Liverpool regroup. As has happened multiple times before. But this time, Wijnaldum to Clyne to Firmino to Wijnaldum, quickly worked down the inside-right, the goal coming from Firmino's deft lay-off, Wijnaldum's surging run and immaculate touch, and an utterly fierce near-post finish.

With just 30 seconds left before what would have been an infuriating interval.

Incidentally, that was Liverpool's third first-half stoppage time goal in the last six matches. Firmino at West Brom, Can at Watford, and Wijnaldum against Middlesbrough. All three absolutely necessary in breaking down a resilient defense. All three eventual match-winners.

And then, as at West Ham, Liverpool opened the floodgates and sealed the game in the 15 minutes after halftime. There was no panic, not as at 0-0. There was certainly. There was impetus. And there were goals.

First, Coutinho's direct free kick. As went Arsenal on opening day, so goes Middlesbrough on the final day. It was his third of the season, tying marks set by Suarez in 2013-14 and Gerrard in 2014-15. He'd scored just one in his Liverpool career prior to this season.

Then, counter-attacking excellence. Middlesbrough's corner ends with the ball in Middlesbrough's net. The corner swarmed and cleared by any means necessary, then Lallana tearing down the pitch with possession, Liverpool's five versus Middlesbrough's three. A slightly under-hit early cross, but *cliché alert* wanting it more on the second ball: Lallana wins the header, played directly to Wijnaldum, receives a header back, and tears through on goal, a smartly-taken left-footed finish into the far corner.

Goodnight, moon. Goodnight, Middlesbrough.

From there, a couple of chances to extend the lead: Guzan denying Coutinho, Firmino unable to set up Wijnaldum, and Wijnaldum volleying wide. A couple of chances for Adam Forshaw, Liverpool's back-line twice beaten worryingly easily, but chances untaken. Cameo appearances for Lucas and Moreno, a warm and hopefully not final send-off for Daniel Sturridge. But mostly comfort. Mostly relief. And mostly celebration.

Liverpool finish the season with 15 more goals scored than last season. With eight fewer conceded. With 16 more points. And four places better in the league table.

It is just the second time that Liverpool have finished in the Top 5 since 2008-09, let alone the Top 4. It is just the second time that Liverpool have taken more than 64 points since 2008-09, bettering that total by 12.

Liverpool's points total in those eight campaigns since? 63, 58, 52, 61, 84, 62, 60, 76.

Liverpool league finish in those eight campaigns since? 7th, 6th, 8th, 7th, 2nd, 6th, 8th, 4th.

Yes, yes, it's now up to Liverpool to prove this is the rule rather than the exception, as 2013-14 turned out to be. Yes, yes, Liverpool will still have to advance through a play-off to make the Champions League proper.

But we can worry about that in a couple of months. Right now, we're celebrating. Despite all the drama, all the torture, and all the weirdness over the last nine months.

And rightfully so.

20 May 2017

Liverpool v Middlesbrough 05.21.17

10am ET, live in the US on NBC Sports

Last four head-to-head:
3-0 Liverpool (a) 12.14.16
2-2 Liverpool pens (h; League Cup) 09.23.14
0-2 Boro (a) 02.28.09
2-1 Liverpool (h) 08.23.08

Last three matches:
Liverpool: 4-0 West Ham (a); 0-0 Southampton (h); 1-0 Watford (a)
Boro: 1-2 Southampton (h); 0-3 Chelsea (a); 2-2 City (h)

Goalscorers (league):
Liverpool: Mané 13; Coutinho 12; Firmino 11; Lallana, Milner, Origi 7; Can, Wijnaldum 5; Sturridge 3; Lovren 2; Henderson, Matip 1
Boro: Negredo 9; de Roon, Stuani 4; Ramirez 2; Ayala, Bamford, Chambers, Downing, Gestede, Gibson, Leadbitter 1

Referee: Martin Atkinson (LFC History) (WhoScored)

Guess at a line-up:
Mignolet
Clyne Matip Lovren Milner
Wijnaldum Can Coutinho
Lallana
Sturridge Firmino

It's the last game of the season. And if Liverpool win it, they'll be in next season's Champions League. One match that could, without exaggeration, change the club's fortunes.

Just like the last match of last season.

No pressure, guys.

Oh, and, 0-0 Southampton, 1-2 Palace, 2-2 Bournemouth. Liverpool haven't won at home since April 1. They've won all four away games, surprisingly enough, but none at Anfield. Against sides who are currently 8th, 10th, and 13th.

At least Boro are decidedly worse than those three sides. Although it's not as if that's mattered much to this Liverpool side.

Roberto Firmino's at least in individual training, if not full team training, although that's been the case for more than a month now. And if he's available I suspect he'll replace Origi, although I'm not really bothered which of them starts; Origi did well with Sturridge last week and both can be valuable in changing tenor and tempo off the bench. The more important question is whether Liverpool sticks with the 4-4-2 diamond formation or reverts to 4-3-3.

Whether it's Firmino or Origi, I'm of an "if it ain't broke..." mind. Sure, it was only one game. But it was also the first time that Liverpool scored four goals in 2017. Scoring four goals, even if Liverpool had some fortune and some help, was good and fun. I'd recommend Liverpool do it again. This formation seems a far likelier proposition than any personnel variation of the 4-3-3 that Liverpool have deployed in recent months. But having Sturridge's movement up front, whether 4-3-3 or 4-Diamond-2, may well be more important as the formation, although I'll continue to maintain he's had his best moments at the club with a strike partner.

Meanwhile, Middlesbrough have won just one league match in 2017. One. Of 18, with seven draws and 11 losses. It was three weeks ago: 1-0, at home, against the only side lower than they are in the table. Boro have not been good this season. They are especially bad in attack, with only one player scoring more than four goals this season. Their 27 goals are the lowest in the division, barely behind Sunderland but well behind everyone else. They will be deservedly relegated.

That said, they can be a reasonably competent defensive side. They've conceded 50 goals, only eight more than Liverpool. Ten sides have conceded more, and their two other relegation compatriots have conceded 64 and 73. Five of Boro's seven 2017 league draws have finished 0-0. But five of those seven draws also came at home; Boro's 2017 away record is 2D-6L, two goals scored and 15 conceded.

Tomorrow's XI will probably be the same that lost 1-2 against Southampton last week. Guzan; Fabio, Chambers, Gibson, Friend; de Roon, Clayton, Forshaw; Bamford, Negredo, Downing. Victor Valdes and Gaston Ramirez are absent, while ex-Liverpool player Danny Ayala is doubtful. Maybe Adam Traore starts instead of Downing or Bamford; maybe Dimi Konstantopoulous starts instead of Brad Guzan – it's hard to be worse than Guzan, and I'm still comfortable writing that knowing how many opposition keepers have turned into brick walls against Liverpool.

Nonetheless, Gibson and Chambers can defend quite well. Clayton, de Roon, and Forshaw will hustle, bustle, and harry in their own half. And Boro will hope that Negredo can pull a rabbit from his hat at the other half maybe once or so. Or maybe Downing gets a set play. Or maybe Liverpool does a Liverpool.

So it's up to Liverpool. At home. Under an indescribable amount of pressure. Against a bottom three side who'll look to do nothing but defend and stifle and defend.

It, admittedly, is not my favorite scenario. And I cannot help but remind that Middlesbrough are the only relegated side that Liverpool haven't dropped points against.

But even though I can't help thinking about that, Liverpool can. Liverpool know what they need to do; the entire season's prepared for and led to this moment, this match, and they're coming off of an incredibly encouraging and vital result. And Liverpool are more than capable of doing it.

15 December 2016

Visualized: Liverpool 3-0 Middlesbrough

Previous Match Infographics: West Ham (a), Bournemouth (a), Sunderland (h), Southampton (a), Watford (h), Crystal Palace (a), West Brom (h), United (h), Swansea (a), Hull (h), Chelsea (a), Leicester (h), Tottenham (a), Burnley (a), Arsenal (a)

All match data from Stats Zone and Who Scored.


(Nota Bene: Here's the formation diagram usually included in match reviews.)

Everything's better again!

Well, kind of.

Liverpool should be quite pleased with that performance, especially the second half. Three well-worked and well-taken goals, against a side that had conceded just seven through seven home matches prior to this match. A side that had conceded three in a match just once this season. Eight of Boro's last nine games had seen no more than two goals combined between the two sides.

All three of Liverpool's goals saw seven of 11 Liverpool players involved. All three came from the right flank: two crosses, one high and one low, and one centered inside-the-box pass from Lallana – exactly the type of goals Liverpool tried and failed to create against a similarly deep West Ham defense, even if more of Liverpool's attacks came from the opposite flank in that fixture. All three goals were clear-cut chances, against a defense that's allowed fewer clear-cut chances than all but Chelsea, Southampton, Tottenham, and United. This was the first time Liverpool scored more than one clear-cut chance since walloping Watford 6-1, and that's the only other match where Liverpool's scored three or more clear-cut chances.

Adam Lallana deserves absolutely every plaudit he's received but I was just as impressed with Divock Origi's overall performance. Multiple-goal league cup matches and the miracle against Dortmund aside, that might well have been Origi's best all-around game since joining the club.

Origi's now scored five in his last five appearances, but he hasn't really been involved in the build-up to any of Liverpool's other goals. That certainly wasn't the case yesterday. Mané's movement was the highlight of Liverpool's one-touch pass pass pass crucial second, but Origi's flick for Mané to find that space was something special, following it up by quickly getting into the box to score. And his low cross for Lallana's second was his first assist of the season, and only his second league assist for Liverpool. Yesterday saw the first time he's created multiple chances since returning to the line-up as well his first clear-cut chance of the season. Hell, I think it's the first clear-cut chance he's created since Klopp became manager; I'm pretty sure the only other one came when assisting Lallana's goal in the 1-1 draw against Sion in last season's Europa League.

But, once again, Liverpool's shooting still left something to be desired. The first half was especially difficult, struggling to find space in the final third and create against a packed defense aside from the opening. 15 shots in total – still below Liverpool's average – and just four on-target. In the last three matches, Liverpool have taken 43 shots but and put just ten on-target (23.3%). And, somehow, they've scored eight goals!

Liverpool's shooting accuracy – failing to break 30% in the last five league matches after surpassing that mark in ten of the previous 11 – will undoubtedly improve. I truly hope it's before Liverpool's red-hot conversion rate regresses to the mean.

And, once again, Roberto Firmino struggled mightily. Sure, it's less of an issue when we get matches like that from Origi, Lallana, and even Mané – who didn't display the end product we've become accustomed to but was heavily involved in all three goals. Firmino did look more threatening when playing on the right flank in the second half. But he wasn't involved in any of Liverpool's goals. As against Bournemouth, he created just one chance, after failing to do so against West Ham. As against both Bournemouth and West Ham, he failed to put any of his shots (two, three, two respectively) on-target. This dip in form, whether due to having to play from the flanks or missing Coutinho or simply off-color since returning a minor injury or all of the above, remains worrisome.

Meanwhile, Boro's defense may be incredibly stingy, but Boro's attack is often incredibly bad. Middlesbrough take the fewest shots per game in the league, Middlesbrough have scored the fewest goals in the league. Middlesbrough's attack isn't Bournemouth's or West Ham's, let alone even better opposition.

Credit where due, Liverpool didn't give them any real opportunities, despite a comparatively almost reasonable amount of possession from the home side. Liverpool allowed Boro just two second-half shots, both from well outside the box and both after Liverpool scored its second: Fabio's free kick into the wall and Clayton from long range nowhere near the goal.

Simon Mignolet did what he had to, especially in the first half with the game still in the balance: fairly routine saves on Fabio and Gibson, a more impressive but still should-be-saving-it chance at his near post from Fischer, and two well-held claims from Boro corners. Gibson's header could have been spilled, and Negredo was on hand for an easy tap-in rebound. Fischer's blast could have gone in. Neither should have, but we've seen similar before, from both of Liverpool's keepers, and it would have led to a different game. But neither did.

Still, that was a bad attack. Only Southampton and Sunderland – two of Liverpool's three other league clean sheets – offered less, and not much less.

So there are a lot of positives to take away, most notably arresting the slide and restoring the Era of Good Feelings. Really good goals, three of them. Impressive, increasing, smothering control of a match on a ground where Liverpool have historically disappointed. Top scorers in the league, back up to second place.

But there's a lot more to improve and a lot tougher tests to face – starting next Monday – before everything truly is better again.

13 December 2016

Liverpool at Middlesbrough 12.14.16

2:45pm ET, live in the US on NBC Sports Live Extra

Last four head-to-head:
2-2 Liverpool aet (h; League Cup) 09.23.14
0-2 Boro (a) 02.28.09
2-1 Liverpool (h) 08.23.08
3-2 Liverpool (h) 02.23.08

Last three matches:
Liverpool: 2-2 West Ham (h); 3-4 Bournemouth (a); 2-0 Leeds (h)
Boro: 0-1 Southampton (a); 1-0 Hull (h); 2-2 Leicester (a)

Goalscorers (league):
Liverpool: Mané 7; Coutinho, Firmino, Milner 5; Lallana 4; Can, Origi 3; Lovren 2; Henderson, Matip, Wijnaldum 1
Boro: Negredo, Stuani 3; Gaston 2; Ayala, de Roon, Downing, Gibson 1

Referee: Jon Moss

Guess at a line-up:
Karius
Clyne Matip Klavan Milner
Lallana Henderson Wijnaldum
Mané Origi Firmino

I am not enamored with the prospect of another Liverpool game so soon after Sunday.

The injury crisis hasn't eased. Coutinho's still out for a few more weeks. Sturridge is still out for *shrug macro*. Can will miss this match with the minor knee injury that kept him out of the last match, Lovren will probably miss this match with the hamstring complaint which saw him removed at halftime in the last match.

Just as importantly, I suspect the crisis of faith hasn't eased either. At least mine hasn't.

Liverpool haven't been good in the last two matches. One point from six seems slightly unfair, but did Liverpool really deserve to win either of those matches? Liverpool didn't do enough to win either of those matches. And blame falls on both the often and rightfully scapegoated defense as well as the previously potent attack.

And Liverpool, with an increasingly diminished squad while still one of the hardest working teams in the league, have used just one substitute in each their last two matches, both basically out of necessity. Fatigue seems likely to set in early this festive season. And there aren't many potential changes possible in tomorrow's XI.

I'll continue banging the "Origi shouldn't start" drum for two reasons. Most importantly, I'm still fairly certain that Liverpool are a more cohesive side with Firmino as the spearhead, even if we've pretty much only seen it this season when Coutinho also plays. He is more influential, the attack combines more often and more effectively, Liverpool create better chances, Liverpool press more fervently. A secondary consideration is it gives Liverpool at least one potentially game-changing option off the bench. You know, unlike in the last two matches.

But with Can, Coutinho, and Sturridge all absent, there aren't many ways to make this work. If Can were available, Wijnaldum could more up to the left wing. If Sturridge were available, it's a like for like change. Both of those will probably be options before Coutinho's back. Woodburn's still too young to start matches, Ojo's not fully fit after a long absence.

The one possibility is playing Moreno as a left-sided forward. We know defense certainly isn't his strong suit. He is, however, quick and creative and he'd actually give Liverpool width on the left, something they've desperate lacked with Milner and Firmino manning that flank in the last two matches (look at both Liverpool's average position/passing network as well as West Ham's tackles and interceptions from Sunday). But I mean, Moreno? Ha. *inserts hilarious picture of Moreno on a hoverboard*

So we're hoping that Liverpool have learned something from the last two setbacks, that Klopp's both identified and found remedies for the underlying problems. Because otherwise, it's same as. The same midfield three, the same back four which finished Sunday's match, and yes, the same goalkeeper.

Karius, for better or for worse, will keep his place. And I'm indifferent on this front. It makes sense to take a low-on-confidence keeper out of the firing line, but we've got two years of precedent for Mignolet actually being bad compared to two sometimes shaky months from a keeper five years younger in a new team in a new league. I'm far less angry at Karius 48 hours after the fact than I was on Sunday; his positioning should have been better on Payet's free kick, but the wall should have been as well, and there was little he could do about the second.

While Middlesbrough might not seen the most threatening opponents, they'll certainly present problems. Like Liverpool, they never stop running. They don't score often, but they don't concede often either. They've kept just one clean sheet in the last five matches, 1-0 over really really not good Hull, but only one match during that stretch saw more than a goal for each side since: a 2-2 draw at Leicester. Otherwise, 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 0-1.

Boro have also been better away from home, similarly stingy but more capable of counter-attacking, holding Arsenal, City, and Leicester to impressive draws. But you'd suspect they'll have more opponents to counter at home against the likes of Liverpool than most other sides. And, while it's been awhile, Liverpool haven't done well in their last few trips to Teesside, winless in the last seven trips, the most recent in 2008-09.

Their probable XI tomorrow is 4-5-1 – Valdes; Barragan, Chambers, Gibson, Fabio; Traore, de Roon, Clayton, Forshaw, Downing; Negredo. Negredo's still questionable to return, missing Saturday's match with a hamstring problem, while both Gaston Ramirez and George Friend remain absent. If Negredo's unavailable, it'll probably be Jordan Rhodes up front, but Stuani and Viktor Fischer are also options.

Negredo's an effective striker who can score in any possible manner. Adama Traore's a massive threat on the counter, fast as hell even if often without end product. Middlesbrough love to cross – something Liverpool's struggled with at times – most often through Stewart Downing, who you might be familiar with. Both Clayton and Forshaw are underrated, dynamic English midfielders capable of getting into the box but also more than willing to shoot from distance.

And, of course, I'll worry about the handful of ex-Liverpool players. Downing on the left flank, Antonio Barragan at right back, and Daniel Ayala at center-back, although the latter is unlikely to start. It'd be very Liverpool to see one of those players come back to haunt.

So here we are. Predominantly fearing we could see Liverpool's hole dug deeper. Hopefully, that's my natural and never-ending pessimism. Because I'm certain that Klopp will have hammered into the side that it's much more an opportunity to right the recent wrongs. But I'm less than convinced the side will be able to so soon.

22 September 2014

Liverpool v Middlesbrough 09.23.14

2:45pm ET, not live on TV in the US. Delayed on BeIN Sport at 4pm ET.

Last four head-to-head:
2-0 Boro (a) 02.28.09
2-1 Liverpool (h) 8.23.08
3-2 Liverpool (h) 02.23.08
1-1 (a) 01.12.08

Last three matches:
Liverpool: 1-3 West Ham (a); 2-1 Ludogorets (h); 0-1 Villa (h)
Middlesbrough: 4-0 Brentford (h); 1-0 Cardiff (a); 2-1 Huddersfield (a)

Previous rounds:
Liverpool: n/a
Middlesbrough: 3-1 Preston (h); 3-0 Oldham (a)

Goalscorers (all):
Liverpool: Sterling 3; Gerrard 2; Balotelli, Moreno, Sturridge 1
Middlesbrough: Leadbitter 7; Kike 5; Tomlin 2; Adomah, Ayala, Bamford, Williams 1

Referee: Mike Jones

Guess at a line-up:
Mignolet
Manquillo Skrtel Lovren Moreno
Lucas Rossiter
Lallana
Markovic Lambert Borini

I have but one request. Do not play Gerrard.

That's easier said that done with news that both Henderson and Coutinho have minor injuries and are unlikely to play tomorrow, in addition to the already missing Allen and Can. But it still has to happen, even if it means a midfield comprising of three from Lucas, Lallana, Rossiter, and Suso.

Otherwise, whatever. The packed fixture list means Liverpool have to work around absentees and rest others. The result is fairly low down the list of priorities, no matter the current dearth of confidence or the match taking place at Anfield.

It's a chance for Lambert, Lallana, and Markovic to become better acclimatized to the side. I wouldn't have minded seeing Balotelli in place of Lambert – he needs minutes with his new teammates too – but Rodgers has confirmed Lambert will start, and considering the players injured and who need resting, I doubt Liverpool will go with the diamond.

Lallana in midfield would mean that either Sterling or Borini has to start in the front three (Balotelli's seemingly less likely than either). It'll probably be Borini, and rightfully so considering Liverpool's priorities and Sterling's age, but Sterling has been Liverpool main and frequently only attacking threat.

It's a chance for the defense to maybe think about removing their heads from their rear ends for a change, which is why I've guessed no changes in that area. But Sakho and/or Toure could come in, Jones might well start because it's a cup game, Enrique might actually make an appearance to rest Liverpool's first-choice left-back.

In the last two seasons, Rodgers' line-ups were stronger than expected in the two matches in this competition. But that seems less likely this season. Liverpool are back in the Champions League, and Liverpool have a much more important match early Saturday to worry about. Resting players who need resting seems both alpha and omega.

But make no mistake. This won't be easy, regardless of who starts. Middlesbrough are a decent side, fifth in the Championship, winning five and losing three so far this season, full of confidence after dominating Brentford in their last outing.

Aitor Karanka, who used to be Mourinho's assistant manager at Real Madrid, usually plays 4-2-3-1, but signing both Jelle Vosson and Kike (yes, I know what it looks like, but it's pronounced KEY-que) this summer gives him options. Vossen has started the last two matches up front: as a lone striker against Brentford, partnered with Kike against Cardiff. Patrick Bamford, on loan from Chelsea, is also dangerous, whether deployed out wide or in the hole, predominantly used as a substitute so far this season. Captain Grant Leadbitter, formerly of Sunderland and Ipswich, is top scorer, but top scorer like Gerrard was third-top scorer for Liverpool last season, with only one of seven goals from open play. His usual midfield partner, Dean Whitehead, is suspended, likely replaced by Adam Clayton. You may also recognize one of Boro's central defenders, Daniel Ayala, who will return from suspension.

Remember, it's the League Cup. Of course, I'd like to see some improvement in Liverpool's cohesion, performances, tactics, but the result is pretty much incidental. Liverpool have enough games this season already. Just be better than the dross we've seen in the last two league matches.

That's not asking too much, is it?

26 May 2009

Three new teams, and how it affects Liverpool

Awards on Thursday and Top 10 goals on Friday should wrap up the season review stuff unless something strikes me. In addition, there may be a review of the CL final tomorrow, depending on circumstances (yes, you know what I'm implying).

But first, relegation.

I don’t know why the idea hadn’t struck me sooner, but promotions and relegations affect Liverpool. That Burnley won the playoffs instead of Reading or Sheffield United makes the connection more tenuous, but there are still some notions to be divined. It was Birmingham sealing promotion on the same day that Liverpool hammered Newcastle that hit the point home.

I hate when Liverpool plays Birmingham. Every club has those bogey teams, and Birmingham seems to be one of Liverpool’s, especially under Benitez. I thought it was just a Steve Bruce thing, but Alex McLeish’s side went and took two points off Liverpool in April 2008, a month where Brum only tallied two points on the road to relegation. At the same time, Liverpool’s won four straight over Newcastle by a margin of 14-1.

In fact, Liverpool’s lost to at least one relegated team in three of Benitez’s five seasons: Boro this season, Reading last season, and both Southampton and Crystal Palace in 04-05. The exceptions are 2005-06, where Liverpool were held by Birmingham twice, and 2006-07, where Liverpool drew at both Charlton and Sheffield United. Four points dropped is worse than three.

So, anyway, the changes for next year, and Liverpool’s last four games against each side. I am not including cup matches in Birmingham’s totals, but am including them in Burnley’s. Yes, it’s selective use of the data, but otherwise I’d be going back to at least ’75-76 for Liverpool/Burnley league matches. So we’ll pretend those cup matches counted for points. I know, but play along anyway.

Promoted:
Wolverhampton:
1-0 Liverpool (h) 03.20.04
1-1 (a) 01.21.04
0-1 Wolves (h) 01.14.84
1-1 (a) 08.27.83
5 points; 3 goals for, 2 goals against
Birmingham:
2-2 (a) 04.26.08
0-0 (h) 09.22.07
1-1 (h) 02.01.06
2-2 (a) 09.24.05
4 points; 5 for, 5 against
Burnley:
0-1 Burnley (a; FA Cup) 01.18.05
1-0 Liverpool (h; FA Cup) 01.04.97
1-0 Liverpool (h; League Cup) 02.07.95
0-0 (a; League Cup) 01.28.95
7 points; 2 for, 1 against
Combined Total: 16 points; 10 for, 8 against

Relegated:
Newcastle:
3-0 Liverpool (h) 05.03.09
5-1 Liverpool (a) 12.28.08
3-0 Liverpool (h) 03.08.08
3-0 Liverpool (a) 11.24.07
12 points; 14 for, 1 against
Middlesbrough:
0-2 Boro (a) 02.28.09
2-1 Liverpool (h) 08.23.08
3-2 Liverpool (h) 02.23.08
1-1 (a) 01.12.08
7 points; 6 for, 6 against
West Brom:
2-0 Liverpool (a) 05.17.09
3-0 Liverpool (h) 11.08.08
2-0 Liverpool (a) 04.01.06
1-0 Liverpool (h) 12.31.05
12 points; 8 for, 0 against
Combined Total: 31 points; 28 for, 7 against

So, a 15-point discrepancy. A +21 goal difference versus a +2 one. Super.

Wolves and Burnley make it a tougher comparison, because Liverpool’s never played Wanderers under Benitez and the lone FA Cup tie against Burnley barely counts (Rafa’ll never field a weakened side in the FA Cup again, that’s for sure), but there are still some interesting comparisons.

As said above, I’m not thrilled to see Brum back. Last time Liverpool beat them in the league was May 2004. Benitez has only beaten them in cup competition; his league record is 0-4-2. But at least we’re waving goodbye to Boro, another bogey club. Two wins, a draw, and a loss over the last two seasons, and Boro scored in each of those four games. And it took a late Gerrard winner this year and a Torres hat trick last year to get those two wins.

It’s rude to compound relegation with insults, but it’s sad to see Newcastle and West Brom go down. One goal conceded in eight games against the clubs. Yikes. Why couldn’t Stoke or Hull be relegated instead? At least there’s always next year.

I’m intrigued by and wary of Burnley. Having seen all their playoff matches, I’ve been very impressed. The final was compelling beyond belief. Paterson and Elliot have scored some absolute corkers. The defense was resilient throughout, and the side knows how to counter and how to utilize the flanks. Owen Coyle’s done an amazing job. They’ll either be next season’s Hull (the first half of the season anyway) or next season’s West Brom. I doubt there’ll be any middle ground. And chances are I’ll be rooting for them in 36 of their games.

28 February 2009

Liverpool 0-2 Middlesbrough

Reina
Skrtel Carragher Hyypia Aurelio
Alonso Mascherano
El Zhar Gerrard Babel
Kuyt

Goals:
Alonso (og) 32’
Tuncay 63’

Win in Madrid, and then lose in Middlesbrough. Only Liverpool.

The number of times this team has been sucker-punched is almost laughable. And this time, Liverpool couldn’t even drag themselves back for a draw. In fact, they just got poorer as the game went on. We’ve had some gash ones this season, but this has to be the worst performance of the season, although that’s obvious just by looking at the scoreline.

Liverpool forced three good saves from Brad Jones before 20 minutes were off the clock. Gerrard put El Zhar through in the 9th, Kuyt nearly converted Aurelio’s cross in the 15th, and Babel was in a similar position to El Zhar in the 16th. But for the rest of game – to put it as mildly as possible – Liverpool fucking sucked.

As usual, the opposition flashed a warning in the 11th when Downing crossed in from the left and O’Neil directed it towards Reina, but it looked a matter of time before Liverpool went ahead. Ha.

Around the 20th, Boro started to settle. Liverpool continued to be too intricate, Gerrard, clearly not fit, was a shadow of himself in the first half (although he was better in the second), and the frustration mounted. Downing, perpetually Boro’s best player (and perpetually a thorn in Liverpool’s side), started to pull the strings, and played a key role in the goal.

The mess started with a free kick that never was. Alonso “fouled” a Boro player, and while the free kick was cleared, Tuncay won a corner off Carragher. And yet again, Liverpool’s punished on a set piece, when Downing’s ball in caught Alonso flat-footed after Skrtel missed a header, and it ricocheted off him past Reina.

When Liverpool's gone behind in the second half to smaller clubs, it’s prompted an immediate response. But not today, when it happened in the first. It completely took what little wind there was out of the sails, and heads dropped. Boro could have gone two up in the 41st when Skrtel (who looked very uncomfortable on the right) gave the ball to Downing, but the winger shot too close to Reina.

The second half didn’t start out as hoped either, with El Zhar missing a sitter, side-footing over from Gerrard cutback in the 48th. And that was about it as chances went until Boro went up 2-0.

In the 63rd, Boro broke down Liverpool’s left, O’Neil fed Aliadiere, who beat the offside trap and cut back for Tuncay through the legs of Mascherano. Fittingly, the striker mishit his side-foot but still put it past Reina. A team that couldn’t buy a goal in the league – having not scored for over 500 minutes before the opener – scoring two on Liverpool. I’ve gone through the looking glass.

A scramble in front of goal in the 65th and another sitter missed in the 68th – Kuyt unable to make contact with Gerrard’s centered pass – summed up the afternoon. And just to round out the atrocity, Gerrard picked up a knock in the 75th, and it looked like the same hamstring (although hopefully it was just cramp), with Lucas coming on. Previous subs were Ngog for El Zhar in the 68th and Benayoun for Carragher in the 71st. It goes without saying the changes did nothing, and boy did Carragher look pissed when he trudged off.

I can’t even think of any chances until injury time, when Boro had the ball in the net, but King was offside, followed by Ngog missing a free header from a corner. Liverpool were utterly disheartened and abjectly awful.

I’m not a big fan of singling out players, but I don’t have to today. No one played well. Alonso, Kuyt, Skrtel, and El Zhar were the worst offenders, but that list could easily include others. This team has a nasty habit of playing down to the level of the opposition, and today was the worst example of that. Boro offered next to nothing, just like Liverpool, but got that stroke of luck with an own goal, then doubled their advantage when the team fell asleep on the break.

With Chelsea’s late winner, Liverpool’s now in third on goal difference. And if Villa beats Stoke tomorrow, they’ll only be a point above fourth. Awesome. I still believe everything I wrote two days ago, but that’s downright frightening. And I'm very, very frightened of the repercussions this game will have.

Sunderland on Tuesday before Real a week later. Thank god there’s a game so soon, so we’ll only be subjected to a few days of media thrilled to write about the 'end of the league challenge,' why Rafa sold Keane, and speculation that the Rafa v Parry v owners saga is the reason that Liverpool were so freaking terrible today.

Play like this against the Madrileños, and that glorious win three days ago will mean absolutely nothing. As will the season.

Update 12:44pm: Sorry, still stewing over this, and I didn't want to put this in the comments or create another post.

The more I think about it, the more that I'm not really having that Liverpool lost because of tactics.

Yes, the attack was insipid for long stretches, but there were at least five clear-cut chances, and you'd have expected a goal from at least two of them. El Zhar in the 9th, Kuyt in the 15th, Babel in the 16th, El Zhar in the 48th, Kuyt in the 68th, even Ngog in the 93rd.

If there's anything to complain about tactically, it's Skrtel at right back. It's almost understandable because he's faster than Carra (up against Downing) and given that he did well getting forward when Liverpool played three at the back against Pompey, but in hindsight it was the wrong decision as the back line often looked shaky.

But for the most part, it was just bad luck and silly mistakes that Benitez will be furious about which led to the goals. First, Skrtel mistimes his jump to head Downing's corner away, which wrong-foots Alonso, and it deflects for an own goal. Second, O'Neil's barely keeps the ball in to launch the break, the back line mistimes the offside trap to play on Aliadiere, and then Mascherano can't block the pass nor could Carra block Tuncay's shot. And it's arguable that if Tuncay hits the ball where he's aiming, Carra blocks it.

These excuses make me feel like I'm absolving a poor performance. Which I really don't want to do, as I hope I emphasized above. But for the most part, everything that could go wrong pretty much did.

27 February 2009

Liverpool at Middlesbrough 02.28.09

10am, live in the US on Setanta

Last 4 head-to-head:
2-1 Liverpool (h) 08.23.08
3-2 Liverpool (h) 02.23.08
1-1 (a) 01.12.08
2-0 Liverpool (h) 04.18.07

Last 3 matches:
Liverpool: 1-0 Real Madrid (a); 1-1 City (h); 3-2 Pompey (a)
Boro: 2-0 West Ham (h); 0-0 Wigan (h); 1-1 West Ham (a)

Goalscorers (league):
Liverpool: Gerrard 9; Torres 8; Kuyt 7; Alonso 3; Babel, Benayoun, Riera 2; Arbeloa, Aurelio, Carragher, Hyypia 1
Boro: Alves, Tuncay 4; Aliadiere, O’Neil 2; Pogatetz, Wheater 1

Referee: Rob Styles

Guess at a squad:
Reina
Arbeloa Carragher Skrtel Insua
Alonso Mascherano
Benayoun Gerrard Babel
Kuyt

Yes, there’s some very big news around Liverpool, and I reckon it’s led to a happier manager, but there are more important things going on. Like football.

I know Gerrard’s only recently back from a few weeks out, and played only a few minutes on Wednesday, but he’ll be crucial in Torres’ absence. I’d be surprised if the Spaniard missed more than two games, but there’s little reason for him to be risked before then with the way his season’s gone.

This front six would be nearly the same as that which beat Newcastle 5-1 two months ago – the only difference would be Alonso for Lucas, which I’m pretty sure we’ll all agree is an upgrade. With Torres out, Riera looking gassed, and Benayoun in fine form, I can’t see much different, and hope not to.

I was pleased with Babel’s performance off the bench two days ago. He may not have stood out, but he had little chance to as a lone striker away to Madrid. There seemed a notable change in his attitude, and that makes all the difference. He looked hungry, showed for the ball, and worked hard against Pepe and Cannavaro, both of whom were kicking everything that moved. He put his head down and got to work, and that’s exactly what Ryan needs to do more consistently.

I’m less certain about the backline, even though that’s where Rafa’s more reticent to rotate. I’d be surprised if Aurelio started two games in four days, so we might see Dossena start, as against City, but I’d rather Insua now that he’s back in the squad. Agger’s still out with a back injury, so it should be Carra and Skrtel in the middle; with two of Tuncay, Alves, and Aliadiere likely to start, Hyypia’s height won’t be as essential as Skrtel and Carra’s quicker pace (relatively speaking).

Don’t be fooled by Boro sitting in 19th or by their league record of three draws and three losses since the New Year. Liverpool hasn’t won in Middlesbrough since 2002. During that six-game spell, Liverpool’s has three scoreless draws, two losses, and one 1-1 (last season). One goal in six years, courtesy of Fernando Torres, is not a good record.

Here’s hoping that changes tomorrow.

23 August 2008

Liverpool 2-1 Middlesbrough

Reina
Arbeloa Carragher Skrtel Dossena
Kuyt Gerrard Alonso Benayoun
Keane
Torres

Goals:
Mido 70’
Carragher 85’
Gerrard 90+4’

Wow. Just wow.

We've been privy to some incredible comebacks in the past five or so years. As late ones go, Olympiacos and West Ham obviously top that list, but this was a special last 10 minutes in its own right. Especially when the equalizer is scored by Jamie Carragher in front of the Kop (I don’t care if they credit it to Pogatetz, I’m giving to Carragher now and forever), with the winner coming in the dying seconds thanks to a trademark screamer by Gerrard.

Liverpool were actually decent in the first half, far better than against Liege or Sunderland, but as we’ve seen in the past, were unable to convert that into shots or goals. Turnbull, who was drafted in after Boro’s first-choice keeper was injured in the warm-up, had only one save to make, on Kuyt in the 3rd minute, while Liverpool’s best chance came in the 39th, after Torres’ iffy shot was deflected wide following good work by Robbie Keane, showing what the pairing is capable of.

But it’s not as if Boro sat back and invited the home team on. As promised, Southgate continued to field an attacking side, with two strikers (and Aliadiere on the right). Reina had to make an excellent save on Andrew Taylor’s long shot in the 13th, while Boro consistently looked to counter, especially though Downing on the left.

But the second half was eminently frustrating. Little seemed to come off for Liverpool, passes weren’t finding their target, and play consistently broke down in the final third, while Boro still looked to counter, with Tuncay continuing to be a handful. His star moment was when he excellently turned Carragher (after Mido should have never gotten a cross in) in the 62nd minute, only to shoot straight at Reina from eight yards out.

And what we’d always worried about, especially with Liverpool impotent in attack, finally happened in the 70th minute. Mido got the ball at the top of the box, was given space with Carragher and Skrtel backing off and Alonso unable to get there in time, and he hammered it into the bottom corner.

Liverpool brought on Babel in the 65th, and his performance summed up the game to that point perfectly. He didn’t get his first touch for ten minutes, and when he did, he immediately gave it away.

But Liverpool started getting more pressure on the Boro backline in the last 15 minutes, with El Zhar coming on for Arbeloa in the 83rd (Carragher moved to right back, and got forward) making a difference. It paid off two minutes later. Alonso’s cross was blocked by a Boro defender’s arm, and as Mike Riley was wont to do, nothing was called. But to Liverpool’s good fortune, the ball bounced out to Carragher on the right corner of the box. The defender hammered a shot towards goal, which was deflected into the net by Pogatetz (who had been excellent to that point), and the Kop went absolutely wild.

At that point, no matter how frustrated I was with the performance (and with a draw in the first game at Anfield), the fact that it was Carragher who scored the equalizer would have left me pleased. But Liverpool kept on the pressure, and four minutes were added on because Gary O’Neil decided to waste time feigning an injury in Liverpool’s box. Gerrard forced Turnbull into a good save in the 93rd, and Skrtel missed a free header from the subsequent corner. A minute later, Alonso sent a last-ditch diagonal into the box, and Keane was able to chest it into the path of Gerrard. We all know how it ends after that.

Plus, it’s not as if Boro sat back and defended after going up. That’s not how Southgate has this team set up, and they could have scored a winner of their own in the 88th when Reina strangely ran out to Aliadiere at the edge of the box only to be rounded by the attacker, but Carragher was there to make the tackle. And that’s why he’s Jamie Carragher. And man of the match.

I’m trying not to let Liverpool’s late win paper over the cracks. There’s still something not clicking for the team. Kuyt and Benayoun aren’t good enough on the flanks, although I thought Kuyt was far better today than in his two previous outings (Benayoun was gash though). Until the late heroics, Gerrard looked ambivalent and was nowhere near as influential sitting deeper in a midfield pairing with Alonso (is it just me, or is Xabi making more of an effort to get forward so far this season)? And Alonso, although good at times, was exceptionally erratic in his passing. Plus, his corners were absolutely awful all game long.

But at the end of the day, it’s another three points and more heart-warming late heroics. In addition, Boro truly was good; I’ve clearly underrated them in my predictions, and they will cause some upsets this season. The fact that it was the combination of Gerrard and Carragher to give Liverpool the win in the last 10 minutes makes it even more special.

Standard Liege at Anfield on Wednesday.

22 August 2008

Liverpool v Middlesbrough 08.23.08

10am, live in the US on Setanta.

Last 4 head-to-head:
3-2 Liverpool (h) 02.23.08
1-1 (a) 01.12.08
2-0 Liverpool (h) 04.18.07
0-0 (a) 11.18.06

Last match:
Liverpool: 1-0 Sunderland (a)
Middlesbrough: 2-1 Spurs (h)

Referee: Mike Riley

Guess at a squad:
Reina
Arbeloa Carragher Agger Dossena
Kuyt Gerrard Alonso Benayoun
Keane
Torres

Yes, I know, except for Agger, this would be the same line-up that struggled at Sunderland.

If Lucas and Mascherano were available, I’d guess different. But with those two missing from central midfield, Pennant seemingly cast aside, and Babel probably not ready to start, I don’t see many options.

Admittedly, this is more what I expect to see rather than want to see.

Not even considering Kuyt or Benayoun (it’s not like Liverpool is stacked with options on the flanks, especially if they play with 2 strikers), the one change I’d be tempted to make would be Carra at right back with Agger and Skrtel in the center, if Skrtel’s fit enough. Alvaro disappointed last time out, while Agger and Skrtel have the potential to be Liverpool’s central pairing for the next decade. And Carragher can certainly do a job on the right, although admittedly, you’re not going to get a lot from a right flank of Carra and Dirk in Boro's final third. But Liverpool should still be able to cope.

Any other changes would probably be because of midweek international friendlies, with Benayoun maybe making way for Aurelio, but since most of Liverpool’s first-teamers were in action on Wednesday, I’ve no idea.

Babel returned to Anfield earlier in the week, and while I expect (hope?) he at least makes the bench, I imagine the time difference and lack of preseason preparation will preclude him from starting. But to be honest, Babel was at his best last season coming off the bench anyway. Part of the development we hope to see this season is improvement when he starts, but I think it’ll be a process, just like bedding him into the first team was last season.

Even though Spurs were fairly impotent (like in their first match last season), Boro was impressive a week ago with a 2-1 win at the Riverside. Southgate promised to attack in comments before the match, and attack Boro did, with goals from Wheater and Mido, and Afonso Alves also looking lively.

Spurs may have had more possession, but Boro was good on the counter, and far more lethal than their opponents. Which sounds like how Liverpool games are prone to playing out at times. Liverpool doesn’t have any defenders like Michael Dawson (thankfully), but they can be exposed on the break, and usually have more possession than their opponents even if they’re struggling for shots. That’s part of the reason I suggested Carra as right back earlier in this preview.

Downing has been linked with Liverpool recently. I don’t really put much weight in that, because even if Benitez did want him, I doubt Boro’s selling (and I really doubt they’re selling to Liverpool after the Ziege incident). Downing is Boro’s best player though, and was excellent at Anfield last season. But I believe a flank of Kuyt and Carragher (or Kuyt and Arbeloa for that matter) can keep him quiet, or at least push him centrally where he’ll have far less time and space.

Liverpool have to show more cutting edge and far more incisiveness in the final third in their Anfield debut than they did at the Stadium of Light last weekend. It’s also troublesome coming back from an international break. Torres played over an hour for Spain while Alonso played the second half and Reina got a 15 minute run-out, Gerrard got an hour for England, Kuyt was a sub for the Netherlands, Dossena played the second half against Austria, and Agger, Keane and Benayoun played the full 90 for their countries.

The team (well, Torres) did well to eke a tough win at Sunderland last Saturday, which gave Liverpool the three points to start the season the right way. They have to build on that in their first match at Fortress Anfield.

23 February 2008

Liverpool 3-2 Middlesbrough

Reina
Finnan Hyypia Arbeloa Aurelio
Lucas Mascherano
Kuyt Gerrard Babel
Torres

Goals:
Tuncay 9’
Torres 28’ 29’ 61’
Downing 83’

Thank you Fernando Torres. It’s not often you get to say a £20m player is an absolute bargain.

It was just about the same line-up as the one against Inter (Carragher's suspension meant Arbeloa came in at center-back), but the performance was little like Tuesday’s.

The only change was in defense, and it was the defense that gave Boro the lead and kept them in the game. Within ten minutes Boro had a free kick on the right when Babel unnecessarily handled on the wing, and Downing’s ball found Tuncay for an easy header with Liverpool’s defense claiming offside. It wouldn’t be the first time the offside trap caused trouble.

For the next 18 minutes, Liverpool’s passing was abhorrent and the team lost possession far too easily. When they were able to get a ball in the box, it was usually too long for the recipient. But then came Fernando Torres.

First, an ill-judged back header by Arca put Torres through on goal, rounding Schwarzer and evading Pogatetz to slot home 28 minutes in. Less than 60 seconds later, Aurelio centered for Torres in space outside the box with room to stride forward and unleash a shot that curled around the defender and past the keeper, reminiscent of the goal he scored away against the same side.

It looked like that would give Liverpool a platform to put the match away, but Boro twice had the ball in the net before halftime, both correctly ruled out. First, Tuncay needlessly scored with him arm in the 35th. Four minutes later, the same player was barely offside before he put Aliadiere through.

O’Neil also had a chance to score in the last minute of stoppage time after getting the ball in space after Downing again got down Liverpool's right, only to shoot tamely wide. And the trend continued ten minutes after the restart; Aliadiere was flagged for offside when it was Tuncay who received the pass and could have been one-on-one with Reina.

But in the 61st minute, another moment of brilliance from Torres looked likely to seal it. Kuyt played a lovely long ball out of defense towards Torres, who was able to control the ball around Wheater and avoid the on-rushing Schwarzer with a shot from outside the box for his hat-trick, his second three-goal game this season. Most impressive was how he made the incredibly difficult move look so simple.

Liverpool had chances to take it to 4-1, the best being Lucas’ free header over from Gerrard’s curling free kick and when Schwarzer did well to prevent Torres from getting his fourth on the break.

But Boro made it a nervier finish when the impressive Downing received a long ball after another giveaway, got away from Benayoun, and shot between Reina’s legs in the 83rd minute. However, soon after Aliadiere was sent off, slapping at Mascherano after he was seemingly provoked. In Masch’s defense, it looked like he only put a hand in Aliadiere’s face after some words were said, while Aliadiere absolutely swung back.

It certainly seemed like Liverpool weren’t helped by the substitutions made (and not made) in the final 20 minutes either. When the line-ups were announced, it was strange to see no room on the bench for either Alonso or Pennant, and that Alonso wasn’t there made a difference.

Lucas played fairly well for 70 minutes or so, but clearly began to tire and started to make mistakes. And with Benayoun having come on for Babel, Kuyt soon to be replaced by Riise, and no central midfielders on the bench, Lucas stayed on. I don’t mean to come off as unfairly harsh on the young player, but the mistakes that lost possession stood out.

More worrisome was the defense, especially the offside trap. Arbeloa made some excellent tackles, but he was the difference between today’s match and Tuesday’s, and something was definitely different. Again there were too many mistakes, far too often a problem this season, and no offense to Boro, but a team with more confidence and talent up front could have made Liverpool pay.

But it also could have been a different story without Torres. Arca’s mistake began the onslaught, but all three goals were stunning in their own right. Pogatetz did well to try and get back and put Torres off for the first, and when rounding the keeper, Torres almost lost the angle, but was still able to put it away. The second goal was just a stunning strike from distance. And the third was yet another display of how much of a threat he is one-on-one with the defender from pretty much any angle.

And now, before the end of February, that’s 21 goals on the season, 15 of those coming in the league. He’s the first 20-goal scorer striker for Liverpool since Owen. And what’s more, he’s only scored 21 in a season one other time, coming in 40 games for Atletico in 03-04. Sometimes it’s hard to remember it’s his first season in England; he’s only played 31 games in his Liverpool career.

Other than Torres, I thought Kuyt, Mascherano, Gerrard, and Hyypia played well. I hope it’s not lost that it was Kuyt’s assist for the third goal, and he’s starting to adapt to playing on the right in a 4-2-3-1, although like many in the first half, too often his crosses were inaccurate. Mascherano’s excellent performances are becoming standard fare, but there’s no other I’d rather have mopping up play. I’ve long run out of complementary adjectives for his work.

Liverpool made things difficult for themselves, and on another day they could be coming away with less than three points, but no matter how they got there, it’s job done.

With Carragher returning from suspension and Agger and Skrtel nearing fitness, I’m hopeful the defensive lapses were an aberration. Liverpool also must improve their passing, but at the end of the day, it’s three points in the league and two wins in a row for a team that desperately needs the confidence boost. That’ll do.

22 February 2008

Liverpool v Middlesbrough 02.23.08

10am EST, live in the US on Setanta

Last 4 head-to-head:
1-1 (a) 01.12.08
2-0 Liverpool (h) 04.18.07
0-0 (a) 11.18.06
2-0 Liverpool (h) 12.10.05

Last 3 matches:
Liverpool: 2-0 Inter (h); 1-2 Barnsley (h); 0-0 Chelsea (a)
Boro: 0-0 Sheffield Utd (a); 1-0 Fulham (h); 1-1 Newcastle (a)

Goalscorers (league):
Liverpool: Torres 12; Gerrard 8; Babel, Benayoun, Kuyt, Voronin 3; Alonso, Crouch 2; Hyypia, Sissoko 1
Boro: Downing, Tuncay 4; Aliadiere, Wheater 3; Arca, Mido 2; Boateng, Cattermole, Hutchinson, Huth, Young 1

Referee: Lee Mason

Guess at a squad:
Reina
Finnan Skrtel Hyypia Arbeloa
Pennant Gerrard Mascherano Benayoun
Kuyt Torres

With Carragher suspended, Liverpool will have to make changes in defense. There are differences in who’s available according to the BBC and the official site.

The BBC says Skrtel’s still out (and they say it’s an ankle problem, while the official site reported it was a calf injury last week) while the official site expects his return. Although Agger’s close to coming back (and featured in the same story that mentions Skrtel’s fitness), he won’t be risked tomorrow.

If the BBC’s accurate Arbeloa, who’s just back from a few weeks absent, will probably be forced into central defense partnering Hyypia. But I’ll trust the official site first, and if Skrtel is fit to play, I’m hoping Arbeloa will return to left back. I can’t see Finnan left out after his performance Tuesday, so he should be back on the right.

Whoever starts in defense will most likely come up against £12m striker Afonso Alves in his first start for Boro after coming on as a sub against both Fulham and Sheffield. Alves lives and dies by his pace on the counter-attack and scored frequently in both the Swedish and Dutch leagues. Liverpool will have to keep tabs on him.

Boro’s potential on the counter is a big reason why I think Mascherano will start despite Liverpool’s excellent record at Boro at home. The priority will be on the attack and having players like Torres, Gerrard, and whoever starts on the flanks getting forward at every opportunity, but Liverpool will have to keep tight at the back against Boro’s break, and Mascherano is key to that.

Boro’s defense, featuring Wheater, Pogatetz, and Huth (who still has to pass a late fitness test) in the center, is very good in the air, which we saw last month at the Riverside when Wheater and Huth ate up long balls pumped out of Liverpool’s half.

Liverpool looked most threatening when players like Babel and Torres were running at defenders. I don’t know whether Babel will be on from the whistle having started in the last three games, but players like he, Pennant, and Benayoun, whoever starts, must have good performances.

Most importantly, Liverpool will have to be more cohesive than in the last meeting. Liverpool’s problems since mid-December have been much discussed, but many were on display at the Riverside last month, especially with Liverpool looking disjointed, unable to string passes together, and almost apathetic.

A good performance at Chelsea, and the win over Inter a few days back (we’ll ignore the Barnsley incident) has seen Liverpool look capable turning it around. The team’s been better top to bottom, has looked like they want it more, and has been playing smarter. And once again, Liverpool will have to be smarter, as Boro will most likely pack the defense and force Liverpool to work their way through them, like many teams do when they come to Anfield, and where Liverpool’s struggled at times this season.

It’s necessary that progress continues as Liverpool looks to secure Champions League qualification for next season.

12 January 2008

Liverpool 1-1 Boro

Reina
Finnan Carragher Hyypia Arbeloa
Benayoun Gerrard Mascherano Riise
Torres Voronin

Goals:
Boateng 26’
Torres 71’

That would be the third consecutive draw in the league, fourth in all competitions, and outside of a moment of brilliance from Fernando Torres, it could have easily been a loss.

Once again, Liverpool was simply not good enough. The first 45 minutes saw Liverpool about as bad as possible, and it seems like that’s been written often lately.

All the recent criticisms apply. Liverpool struggled to string two passes together or show any coherency in possession. Too often the ball was given away cheaply, while the defense continued to look vulnerable and stretched by Boro’s width and pace.

Liverpool may have started the brighter over the first 10 minutes, but the opposition again grew in stature, and Boro opened the scoring with their first shot on target after Liverpool again failed to clear. Downing got into space on Boro’s left, Arbeloa headed the cross across his own goal towards Aliadiere, who headed it into the path of Boateng, getting there before Hyypia and scrambling it over the line.

And honestly, although Boro hadn’t gotten a shot on target before the goal, they probably deserved their lead at the break. Liverpool really were playing that poorly, and outside of Gerrard’s shot from distance forcing a decent Schwartzer save in the 11th minute, failed to create much of their own.

Thankfully, Benitez saw as much, and brought Babel on at halftime; given how rarely Rafa makes halftime substitutions it showed how frustrated he was with Liverpool's offering.

And Babel for Arbeloa, with Riise moving into defense, and Alonso for Benayoun less than 15 minutes later, did improve Liverpool, but it couldn’t really have gotten worse. Liverpool still gave the ball away, still floundered in attack, and still struggled to carve out opportunities.

And again, it took a moment of brilliance from either Torres or Gerrard to save Liverpool, this time Torres supplying the moment of magic in the 71st minute. Torres took possession a good distance from goal (and honestly, he was isolated as if a lone striker for much of the match), strode towards the box, and unleashed an unstoppable swerving shot from distance.

Unsurprisingly, Liverpool supplied more pressure after getting the goal, with Babel and Gerrard narrowly missing the target, and Gerrard forcing another save from Schwartzer on a shot from distance, but again, the winner wasn’t coming. And again, unlike against City and Wigan but reminiscent of the last match at Luton, Liverpool’s probably lucky to come away with the draw.

Despite my distaste for singling out players, Voronin and Riise have to be called out after performances today. No one played anywhere near their best, but Voronin and Riise were by far the guiltiest in losing possession and wasting opportunities in attack. Neither deserved to be near the field today, even if one can argue for their inclusion thanks to the recent play of Kuyt and Kewell and the injury to Aurelio. However, other than Reina, Torres and Mascherano, no one really played remotely well.

But my other biggest complaint is tactically. I have no idea why the team is content to pump long balls up the field as if Crouch is playing when he’s not even in the squad. It’s one thing to suggest that Crouch can’t have a successful partnership with Torres; I’m not fully convinced, but that’s another discussion. But I have no idea why Liverpool’s playing route one football with a front line of Voronin and Torres.

Wheater and Huth, who are both big centerbacks, absolutely ate up the long balls from Carragher and Hyypia. Admittedly, the midfield wasn’t giving the defense enough options and either Benayoun or Riise needed to supply more width, but Middlesbrough dealt with it all game long, and it’s when Babel came on the pitch and both he and Torres ran at defenders that Liverpool looked more threatening.

That’s what’s so frustrating about the results over this spell. Admittedly, my expectations may have been too lofty at the start of the season, but we’ve seen that the team is better than this, and more importantly, smarter than this. There was absolutely no intelligence in Liverpool’s play today. They were rushing passes and touches, leading to possession lost, and too often resorted to the long ball, which wasn’t working.

More and more, I’m feeling the need to reiterate my faith in Benitez. I’d like to think that this spell is just growing pains, and the good performances and scorelines early in the season set the bar too high. And I’m deathly frightened of what could happen to the team were Benitez to leave. There’s the Newcastle precedent, and what can happen to a club when they start firing managers, but also questions over what would happen to the Spanish contingent, including that man Torres, were Benitez to depart. Also, the control and importance Benitez has in overhauling the youth set-up, and the potential in the reserve and under-18 teams. Plus, the memories of the growing pains both Ferguson and Wenger suffered before establishing themselves at their clubs.

But I’m keenly aware just how bad Liverpool is playing. And more frustratingly, there’s little progress evident from the poor spells suffered during all four of Benitez’s seasons. Despite the quality introduced to the side, we’re still suffering through disjointed performances where Liverpool struggles to score against weaker teams. Tactically, Liverpool’s still got little answer when teams pack the defense and make it difficult for Liverpool to establish the tempo. And this season's points total is approximately equal to this time last season.

But at the end of the day, I do still believe that this is a spell, and the team will start showing the improvement we though possible in the fall. But I am questioning it more and more.

11 January 2008

Liverpool at Boro 01.12.08

10am EST, live in the US on Setanta

Last 4 head-to-head:
2-0 Liverpool (h) 04.18.07
0-0 (a) 11.18.06
2-0 Liverpool (h) 12.10.05
0-0 (a) 08.13.05

Last 3 matches:
Liverpool: 1-1 Luton (a); 1-1 Wigan (h); 0-0 City (a)
Boro: 2-1 Bristol City (a); 0-2 Everton (h); 1-0 Pompey (a)

Goalscorers (league):
Liverpool: Torres 10; Gerrard 7; Babel, Kuyt, Voronin 3; Alonso, Benayoun 2; Hyypia, Sissoko 1
Boro: Downing, Tuncay 4; Arca, Wheater, Mido 2; Aliadiere, Cattermole, Hutchinson, Young 1

Referee: Andre Marriner

Guess at a squad:
Reina
Finnan Carragher Hyypia Arbeloa
Pennant Gerrard Mascherano Kewell
Torres Crouch

I gave a real preview a go, but as I’m still sicker than a dog, it wasn’t even close to coherent. The flu sure is fun. Sorry again.

I really better be healthy by tomorrow. A Liverpool win at a venue where they haven’t gotten all three points in over five years would certainly help.

18 April 2007

Liverpool 2-0 Middlesbrough

For 51 minutes, Liverpool looked a lot like the team that drew 0-0 against Villa and Manchester City recently. Again, they came out with Gerrard in Kuyt’s usual role as a deep-lying forward and with Mascherano and Sissoko paired in central midfield. And they infrequently looked like scoring.

The second half started out better than the first, with a Mascherano header off the bar from a corner, but the real change took place in the 51st minute when Sissoko was withdrawn for Kuyt and Gerrard moved into a deeper position. It took seven minutes to break the deadlock; within 15 minutes, Liverpool had a two-goal lead.

In criticizing the line-up, which I am loath to do anyway, it’s going to sound a lot like a criticism of Sissoko. I don’t really mean it as so; Sissoko plays a big role in the side, and there are a number of games where I’ve thought him the man of the match. I just do not understand the role being asked of him when he’s partnered with Mascherano, with Gerrard farther up the field almost as a second striker.

Throughout the first half, Sissoko would receive the ball a lot higher up the pitch than he has when he’s played well, and he was being asked to create a lot more in attack. And not much came of it. The few times Momo had a scoring opportunity it went asking, and I couldn’t help but think that if Gerrard was in those positions Liverpool would have gotten at least one. Meanwhile, with Stevie in the role being asked of him, play was frequently passing him by and he didn’t see much of the ball.

After Kuyt came on, Gerrard popped up a fair bit more, and in the 58th minute, received a pass from Zenden where he was able to take another stride and unleash a fierce dipping shot that Schwarzer had no chance on. Seven minutes later, Crouch was held down by Andrew Davies after Pennant had again gotten open and gotten the cross in. On the resulting penalty Gerrard sent Schwarzer the wrong way, and the match was pretty much done. Viduka immediately came on for Boro, who saw a bit more possession in the final 25 minutes, but they never really threatened, and Liverpool saw the game out fairly easily.

Despite Gerrard winning headlines and the match with his two goals, Pennant was the most consistently threatening Liverpool player. While at times the end product wasn’t up to the standards we’ve seen this season, Pennant was perpetually open down the right flank, and used it to very good effect. It’s been excellent to see Jermaine grow in strides through the season, becoming more comfortable with his role in the side throughout, and giving Liverpool the first threatening option from the right wing in a while.

Again, Mascherano was also very good, and it seems to be getting repetitive singling out his work-rate and defensive capabilities. Just as Carragher and Agger were typically solid, a statement that can be said after nearly every match. All three also showed a decent range of passing today, especially in finding Pennant in acres of space. Kuyt also did well after coming on; his first touch (something frequently criticized during this goal drought) was improved, and although he seemed to pop up in the box more often, he really does need to get more attempts and maybe even show a bit more selfishness.

Arbeloa also merits more than a mention, he’s proving worth that £2.6m and more every time out. He and Mascherano are looking utterly brilliant signings. True, with five in midfield and Yakubu as a lone striker, Middlesbrough didn’t offer much in attack, but Arbeloa’s acclimated to the defense as well as can be expected, and has done it on either side of the pitch (right back today). He also showed his capability getting forward, linking up well with Pennant, especially on counter-attacks.

Liverpool certainly made hard work of it at times, but a 2-0 win will do more than nicely. Another 3 points in the bag, against a team that’s given Liverpool problems in the past, and back into 3rd place with a two-point advantage and +4 on goal difference. It’s necessary to keep up that momentum and morale through the Wigan game (without looking past the Wigan game) before the Champions League clash that’s on everyone’s minds in a week’s time.

17 April 2007

Liverpool v Middlesbrough 04.18.07

3pm, available in the US on FSC.

Liverpool: 3rd place; 61 points out of 33 games
Boro: 14th place; 39 points out of 33 games

Last 4 meetings:
0-0 (a) 11.25.06
2-0 Liverpool (h) 12.10.05
0-0 (a) 08.13.05
1-1 (h) 04.30.05

Last 3 games:
Liverpool: 0-0 Man City (a); 1-0 PSV (h); 2-1 Reading (a)
Boro: 1-3 Villa (h); 4-1 Watford (h); 0-2 West Ham (a)

Goalscorers (league; more than one goal):
Liverpool: Kuyt 10; Crouch 9; Bellamy 7; Gerrard 5; Alonso, Fowler, Garcia 3; Agger, Gonzalez 2
Boro: Yakubu 12; Viduka 9; Arca, Downing, Morrison, Rochemback 2

Referee: Graham Poll (oh boy!)

Guess at a squad:
Reina
Finnan Carra Agger Riise
Pennant Gerrard Alonso Gonzalez
Kuyt Crouch

Don’t honestly know if I even think this side is likely to play. But I do know I want to see Liverpool take the game to Boro. Bad tastes linger from the 0-0 at the Riverside in November. As they do from the games against Villa and City recently, although I do realize those were away from Anfield.

The fact remains that I really don’t know how Rafa will rotate over the coming games, only that I’m fairly certain he will. There are home matches against Boro tomorrow and Wigan Saturday before the first leg of the semi-final at Stamford Bridge a week from Wednesday. Over the next two games, it seems fairly certain we’ll see the majority of the squad used, but the game plan in each could go any number of ways.

I want to see a team sheet that shows Liverpool’s intent. 2 strikers up top, Crouch as he’s the in-form striker and Kuyt because not only has he worked well with Crouchy at times, but with his wife giving birth to their 2nd child last week, he may well have that extra motivation. Pennant and Gonzalez are out on the wings for pace and crossing ability, especially with Crouch lurking in the box. And Gerrard and Alonso in the middle, because I honestly can’t see Mascherano or Sissoko’s defensive abilities being that necessary against Middlesbrough at Anfield. While I’ve been full of praise for Javier of late, Gerrard/Alonso is still Liverpool’s most dynamic pairing in midfield and more importantly, should offer the most in attack.

It is however worth noting that aside from Crouch in for Bellamy, the team listed above is the exact one that started against Boro in November. But at Anfield is a bit different than at the Riverside, and this is a different Liverpool team, or at least it’s a team with a lot more confidence. That game came right after the 0-3 loss to Arsenal, when Liverpool was still winless away from home, and saw Gerrard’s much-ballyhooed return to the center following Sissoko’s shoulder injury.

There’s also the question as to which Boro is going to show up tomorrow. The one that won 4-1 v Watford or lost 1-3 against Villa? As per usual, Boro’s one of the most inconsistent teams in the league, and it’s been going on all season; one day they’re beating Chelsea 2-1 (August 23rd), the next, they’re losing 4-0 to Pompey (August 28th).

The key to winning will be containing and bettering Boro’s two strikers. Check the stats, nearly all of Boro’s goals come from Viduka and Yakubu. Also, Boro was able to secure the draw at the Riverside mainly because of how well they defended from the front. Liverpool has a tendency to patiently build up attacks through the center backs or Alonso, and Boro hassled from the front exceptionally well in November. Liverpool will have to be ready for it again.

With 5 games to go in the league, any and all points are essential to see 3rd place attained. With a win over Man City today, Arsenal will leapfrog Liverpool into 3rd. We know Liverpool has the talent and ability to take all 3 from Boro at home, even though a fair amount of the recent fixtures between the two have ended tied. The four games remaining after this are v Wigan, @ Pompey, @ Fulham, and v Charlton. Aside from Portsmouth, none of the remaining teams are higher than 14th place. A good run-in will secure Champions League football for next season, as well as give Liverpool the needed confidence for the rest of the Champions League this season, which I’m sure will be on the minds. But first, roll on Boro.

18 November 2006

Liverpool 0-0 Middlesbrough

Frustrating.

I don’t know what’s worse. The fact that Liverpool dominated possession but were unable to carve out enough serious chances, which is all too familiar, or the fact that this is an improvement upon recent away games.

The first quarter of the match was unsteady at best. Middlesbrough looked the better side, and Boro nearly opened up Liverpool twice. First, sloppy defending led to Carragher barely tackling the ball away from Yabuku in the box, leading to Boro shouts for a penalty (which it wasn’t). Then, Agger misplayed the offside trap to let Jason Euell in, but he was unable to take advantage.

For basically the rest of the game, Liverpool was far and away superior. Unfortunately, the only thing missing was still the goal. As you'll hear over and over again this week, Liverpool has now gone over 9 hours, since the first game of the season at Sheffield, since scoring away.

Kuyt had the best chance early on, steering the ball wide after Bellamy’s chest down, but like Liverpool, Dirk seems only at his best at Anfield. As usual, he worked his socks off, running after every ball, but the flicks and passes didn’t come off as they usually do, he wasn’t as threatening in front of goal, and it seemed he was too quick to pass the ball back into midfield when he received it with his back to goal.

Crouch came on for Kuyt in the 78th minute, and immediately threatened, with Woodgate’s clearance off the line the sole reason the scoreline ended at 0-0. Which begs the question as to why Benitez didn’t bring him on sooner. My guess is that in the past when Crouch has been brought on as a sub, Liverpool ended up playing Route 1 football, relying solely on long passes to Crouch that finish fruitless, and Benitez wanted to use this only as a last resort. But Peter’s immediate impact, and the trouble that he caused Boro’s backline will lead to a lot of questioning. Especially given that Crouch was so influential in away games last season, and the theory that he was brought to help Liverpool retain possession on the road.

Steven Gerrard made his much ballyhooed return to the center of the park, with little effect. There were flashes of brilliance; most memorable was the picture perfect pass to Bellamy leading to Kuyt’s shot, which really should have led to a goal, but it seemed that he was too deep in midfield to really influence play and was getting the ball too early in the attack.

Right now, Liverpool’s attack is toothless away from home. They were unable to break through Boro’s packed midfield much of the time. When the ball did get out onto the flanks, it seemed that far too often, the crosses were misplayed, especially from Mark Gonzalez. Liverpool had 12 corners (12!), and I can’t remember one decent shot on goal resulting from them. There is too much lateral passing and not enough incisiveness when teams pack the midfield against them, which they always seem to do when Liverpool is away. Too frequently they saw no outlet pass, and sent it back to Reina or a central defender instead of moving up the field.

In addition, Boro did an excellent job defending from the front. Liverpool prefers to build its attack from the back, with the central defenders or Alonso starting the play from their own half, but the Boro front line hassled and harried, and didn’t give the time to carve out openings.

I’ve done more than a fair share of complaining, but there was progress. A clean sheet is progress. Fewer defensive mistakes are progress. But it’s all wiped away when you cannot score. I honestly do not know what the answer is. I’m tempted to believe it’s mostly a lack of confidence, and when the first one goes in it will make a world of difference, but that can’t be the sole factor. The play on the flanks today was not good enough, it’s where a lot of attacks went to die today, and it’s been a problem all year. Gonzalez could not get a decent cross in to save his life, and seemed too quick to fire off an unsuccessful shot instead, but Pennant didn’t have much better luck beating his man on the right. It’s telling that I both yearn for a healthy Harry Kewell, and think that Liverpool could have gotten more out of the right flank with Stevie’s crossing instead of Jermaine’s, but Stevie on the right this year hasn’t been the same as last season’s. Hopefully the far more intelligent football minds on the staff have answers to these problems, because I’ve none.

So yes, all in all, frustrating sums it up nicely.

17 November 2006

Liverpool at Middlesbrough 11.18.06

12:15pm. Available in the US on Fox Soccer Channel.

Liverpool: 9th place; 17 points out of 12 games
Middlesbrough: 13th place; 14 points out of 12 games

Last 4 meetings:
2-0 Liverpool (h) 12.10.05
0-0 (a) 08.13.05
1-1 (h) 04.30.05
0-2 Boro (a) 11.20.04

Last 3 games:
Liverpool: 0-3 Arsenal (a); Birmingham 1-0 (a); Reading 2-0 (h)
Middlesbrough: 1-0 West Ham (h); 0-2 Watford (a); 0-1 Man City (a)

Goalscorers (league):
Liverpool: Kuyt 5; Crouch 2; Agger, Alonso, Bellamy, Fowler, Garcia, Gonzalez, Riise 1
Middlesbrough: Yakubu 4; Viduka 2; Downing, Maccarone, Morrison, Pogatetz 1

Referee: Lee Mason

The squad I’d like to see:
Reina
Finnan, Carragher, Agger, Warnock
Garcia, Gerrard, Alonso, Riise
Kuyt, Bellamy

I think everyone’s going to get their wish, and as I said last weekend, Steven Gerrard seems likely to start in the center. The press has already begun the celebrations, and I believe there will be a parade through London Sunday to commemorate the event.

Playing Gerrard in the center tomorrow makes sense, much more so than in the last game. Middlesbrough is nowhere near as dangerous as Arsenal through the middle, will probably play a 4-5-1 formation with only Yakubu up top, and derives most of its attack from Downing and Morrison on the flanks. Unlike against teams like say, Arsenal, I don’t think Middlesbrough will be able to exploit the gaps in the middle that Stevie will leave when he pushes forward or roams in a freer role, as he is wont to do; the same gaps that Sissoko is usually in there to seal.

As much as I cheerlead for the Kuyt/Crouch pairing, I think this is a perfect opportunity for Bellamy to get a start and further boost his confidence. He played very well and got a goal during Wales’ midweek game, and will be looking to continue that form. His speed and intelligent runs should cause bags of problems for Woodgate and Huth in Boro’s back line, and on paper, a partnership between Bellamy and Kuyt should disturb that defense all day long.

It’s time for Liverpool to get back on track, and prove that they can win away from Anfield. They couldn’t have asked for a better fixture in which to do so. The Riverside hasn’t been the best venue for Liverpool, with no goals there since 2002, but inconsistency has been the rule for Boro so far this season. With the talent in the squad, and with the need to prove a point, Liverpool should be able to take advantage of their weaknesses, and hopefully go some way in ending the negativity surrounding the team.